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Politik·Wahlen In Frankreich

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politik·Wahlen In Frankreich

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$83,823 Vol.

30. Apr. 2027
Polymarket

$83,823 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$8,848 Vol.

87%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,812 Vol.

52%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$5,423 Vol.

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,620 Vol.

10%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$58 Vol.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,711 Vol.

8%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$17,470 Vol.

8%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,083 Vol.

7%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$466 Vol.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$638 Vol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Vol.

5%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$251 Vol.

5%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$643 Vol.

4%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,114 Vol.

4%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,127 Vol.

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,254 Vol.

4%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$631 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,908 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,349 Vol.

3%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,774 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,659 Vol.

2%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,825 Vol.

2%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$2,043 Vol.

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,768 Vol.

2%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,111 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$1,005 Vol.

2%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,147 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,559 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,962 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,537 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,230 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,286 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$1,613 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$23 Vol.

44%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling for France's April 2027 presidential election shows National Rally candidates Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella dominating first-round projections at 30-36%, positioning the party to advance to the runoff against a fragmented field that includes Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Le Pen's July 2026 appeal court ruling upheld her conviction but shortened the ineligibility period, preserving her candidacy path while she pursues further appeals; this legal uncertainty boosts Bardella as a potential substitute. Center-right and Macronist contenders trail in head-to-head matchups, while Mélenchon's support has risen modestly on the left. Traders price RN advancement as highly likely given consistent survey leads and the two-round system's dynamics, with the main variable being which non-RN candidate qualifies as challenger.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$83,823
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling for France's April 2027 presidential election shows National Rally candidates Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella dominating first-round projections at 30-36%, positioning the party to advance to the runoff against a fragmented field that includes Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Le Pen's July 2026 appeal court ruling upheld her conviction but shortened the ineligibility period, preserving her candidacy path while she pursues further appeals; this legal uncertainty boosts Bardella as a potential substitute. Center-right and Macronist contenders trail in head-to-head matchups, while Mélenchon's support has risen modestly on the left. Traders price RN advancement as highly likely given consistent survey leads and the two-round system's dynamics, with the main variable being which non-RN candidate qualifies as challenger.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$83,823
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

32%
Ja
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

77%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marine Le Pen" mit 87%, gefolgt von „Édouard Philippe" mit 52%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 87¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 87% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $83.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 1, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ist „Marine Le Pen" mit 87%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 87% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 52%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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