Recent polls, including Emerson's April survey showing Democrats leading the generic ballot by 10 points and CNN's early May data highlighting a Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans, have elevated trader consensus toward 125-130 million votes in the 2026 House midterms, surpassing 2022's 111 million amid President Trump's underwater approval ratings and backlash to Iran military actions. This keeps top outcomes tightly matched, as GOP redistricting gains and steady base turnout counterbalance uncertain youth participation per Harvard's April poll, alongside Democratic surges in Texas primaries and special election overperformance. Shifts could emerge from summer primaries, registration trends, or economic indicators before November's general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert130 Mio.+ 25%
115-120 Mio. 14%
110-115 Mio. 13%
120-125 Mio. 12%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<85 Mio.
<1%
85-90 Mio.
<1%
90-95 Mio.
1%
95-100 Mio.
27%
100–105 Mio.
1%
105–110 Mio.
5%
110-115 Mio.
13%
115-120 Mio.
36%
120-125 Mio.
36%
125-130 Mio.
25%
130 Mio.+
25%
130 Mio.+ 25%
115-120 Mio. 14%
110-115 Mio. 13%
120-125 Mio. 12%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<85 Mio.
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90 Mio.
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 Mio.
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100 Mio.
$269 Vol.
27%
100–105 Mio.
$791 Vol.
1%
105–110 Mio.
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115 Mio.
$526 Vol.
13%
115-120 Mio.
$1,025 Vol.
36%
120-125 Mio.
$408 Vol.
36%
125-130 Mio.
$1,199 Vol.
25%
130 Mio.+
$294 Vol.
25%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent polls, including Emerson's April survey showing Democrats leading the generic ballot by 10 points and CNN's early May data highlighting a Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans, have elevated trader consensus toward 125-130 million votes in the 2026 House midterms, surpassing 2022's 111 million amid President Trump's underwater approval ratings and backlash to Iran military actions. This keeps top outcomes tightly matched, as GOP redistricting gains and steady base turnout counterbalance uncertain youth participation per Harvard's April poll, alongside Democratic surges in Texas primaries and special election overperformance. Shifts could emerge from summer primaries, registration trends, or economic indicators before November's general election.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volumen
$7,242Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent polls, including Emerson's April survey showing Democrats leading the generic ballot by 10 points and CNN's early May data highlighting a Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans, have elevated trader consensus toward 125-130 million votes in the 2026 House midterms, surpassing 2022's 111 million amid President Trump's underwater approval ratings and backlash to Iran military actions. This keeps top outcomes tightly matched, as GOP redistricting gains and steady base turnout counterbalance uncertain youth participation per Harvard's April poll, alongside Democratic surges in Texas primaries and special election overperformance. Shifts could emerge from summer primaries, registration trends, or economic indicators before November's general election.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$7,242Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Emerson's April survey showing Democrats leading the generic ballot by 10 points and CNN's early May data highlighting a Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans, have elevated trader consensus toward 125-130 million votes in the 2026 House midterms, surpassing 2022's 111 million amid President Trump's underwater approval ratings and backlash to Iran military actions. This keeps top outcomes tightly matched, as GOP redistricting gains and steady base turnout counterbalance uncertain youth participation per Harvard's April poll, alongside Democratic surges in Texas primaries and special election overperformance. Shifts could emerge from summer primaries, registration trends, or economic indicators before November's general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen