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Politik·Primär

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Kleine Klammern)

icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Kleine Klammern)
Politik·Primär

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Kleine Klammern)

Crowley <1% 98.6%

Crowley 1–2 % <1%

Crowley 2–3 % <1%

Crowley 3–4 % <1%

Polymarket

$106,262 Vol.

Crowley <1% 98.6%

Crowley 1–2 % <1%

Crowley 2–3 % <1%

Crowley 3–4 % <1%

Polymarket

$106,262 Vol.

icon for Hong 6%+

Hong 6%+

$13,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hong 5–6 %

Hong 5–6 %

$3,714 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hong 4–5 %

Hong 4–5 %

$3,377 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hong 3–4 %

Hong 3–4 %

$11,011 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hong 2–3 %

Hong 2–3 %

$2,738 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hong 1–2%

Hong 1–2%

$8,472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hong <1%

Hong <1%

$4,537 Vol.

<1%

icon for Crowley <1%

Crowley <1%

$18,969 Vol.

99%

icon for Crowley 1–2 %

Crowley 1–2 %

$11,628 Vol.

<1%

icon for Crowley 2–3 %

Crowley 2–3 %

$9,905 Vol.

<1%

icon for Crowley 3–4 %

Crowley 3–4 %

$9,013 Vol.

<1%

icon for Crowley 4–5 %

Crowley 4–5 %

$2,286 Vol.

<1%

icon for Crowley 5–6 %

Crowley 5–6 %

$3,312 Vol.

<1%

icon for Crowley 6%+

Crowley 6%+

$4,102 Vol.

<1%

The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary with a margin of roughly 0.48 percent over Francesca Hong, reflecting the consolidation of moderate and establishment support behind the Milwaukee County executive following his late re-entry and endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. Late shifts in voter preferences, driven by concerns over electability in the swing state and weaker-than-expected progressive turnout, produced an upset relative to polls that had shown Hong ahead by double digits days earlier. The confirmed result aligns with the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-1 percent margin. A recount remains theoretically possible only if new evidence of tabulation discrepancies emerges before final certification, though Hong's concession has removed the most immediate procedural challenge.

The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$106,262
Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary with a margin of roughly 0.48 percent over Francesca Hong, reflecting the consolidation of moderate and establishment support behind the Milwaukee County executive following his late re-entry and endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. Late shifts in voter preferences, driven by concerns over electability in the swing state and weaker-than-expected progressive turnout, produced an upset relative to polls that had shown Hong ahead by double digits days earlier. The confirmed result aligns with the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-1 percent margin. A recount remains theoretically possible only if new evidence of tabulation discrepancies emerges before final certification, though Hong's concession has removed the most immediate procedural challenge.

The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$106,262
Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Verwandte

icon for Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?

99%
icon for Wird David Crowley die demokratische Vorwahl zum Gouverneur von Wisconsin gewinnen?

Wird David Crowley die demokratische Vorwahl zum Gouverneur von Wisconsin gewinnen?

99%
Ja
icon for Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl in Wisconsin 2026 mit 0%-3% Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl in Wisconsin 2026 mit 0%-3% Vorsprung gewinnen?

23%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Kleine Klammern)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 14 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Crowley <1%" mit 99%, gefolgt von „Hong 6%+" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Kleine Klammern)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $106.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Kleine Klammern)" ist „Crowley <1%" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Hong 6%+" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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