In Peru's upcoming October 2026 municipal elections, Arequipa's provincial mayoral contest features a highly fragmented field exceeding two dozen registered candidates, with incumbent Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar leading trader probabilities at 37.5% after assuming office earlier in 2026 following a vacancy. Other contenders including Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa and José Miguel Briones Silva trail closely in the low-to-mid 30s, reflecting limited name recognition and no dominant polling signals. The tight distribution stems from Peru's open-list system enabling broad participation, recent candidacy inscriptions, and absence of major campaign catalysts or endorsements that could consolidate support ahead of the vote. Upcoming JNE evaluations and early district-level surveys may shift sentiment if they highlight frontrunners or expose vulnerabilities among top names.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Arequipa
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar 38%
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 37%
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna 26%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 9%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
38%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
37%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
26%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
9%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
7%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
7%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
7%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
7%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
7%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
7%

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
6%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
5%

Isidro Flores Sosa
24%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
22%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
22%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
-

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
33%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
33%

José Miguel Briones Silva
-
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar 38%
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 37%
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna 26%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 9%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
38%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
37%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
26%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
9%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
7%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
7%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
7%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
7%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
7%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
7%

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
6%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
5%

Isidro Flores Sosa
24%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
22%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
22%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
-

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
33%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
33%

José Miguel Briones Silva
-
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Peru's upcoming October 2026 municipal elections, Arequipa's provincial mayoral contest features a highly fragmented field exceeding two dozen registered candidates, with incumbent Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar leading trader probabilities at 37.5% after assuming office earlier in 2026 following a vacancy. Other contenders including Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa and José Miguel Briones Silva trail closely in the low-to-mid 30s, reflecting limited name recognition and no dominant polling signals. The tight distribution stems from Peru's open-list system enabling broad participation, recent candidacy inscriptions, and absence of major campaign catalysts or endorsements that could consolidate support ahead of the vote. Upcoming JNE evaluations and early district-level surveys may shift sentiment if they highlight frontrunners or expose vulnerabilities among top names.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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