Recent polling in Chiclayo shows Edwin Vásquez Sánchez holding a lead around 33 percent, yet the prediction market prices remain tightly clustered below 20 percent for him and several rivals including José Francisco Gálvez Tineo and Carlos Augusto Peña Reluz. This reflects a highly fragmented field of over twenty registered candidates, limited name recognition for many newcomers, and shifting local alliances ahead of the October 4, 2026 municipal vote. Trader consensus treats the outcome as open because no candidate has consolidated broad support across key districts, and historical patterns in Peruvian provincial races demonstrate late swings from endorsements, debates, or regional economic concerns. Further surveys or candidate withdrawals within the next six weeks could quickly widen spreads.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJosé Francisco Gálvez Tineo 19%
Miguel Ángel Bartra Grosso 19%
Agustín Villarreal Granados 18%
César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama 18%

José Francisco Gálvez Tineo
19%

Miguel Ángel Bartra Grosso
19%

Agustín Villarreal Granados
18%

César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama
18%

Duber Alberto Fernández Silva
17%

Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez
17%

Marixa Quispe Izquierdo
16%

Jorge Luis Arboleda Ñeco
15%

Luis Eduardo Cabrejos Orellana
15%

Elber Requejo Sánchez
15%

Manuel Enrique Calvay Salinas
15%

Héctor Agustín Aguinaga Fernández
15%

Edinson Lozano Ramírez
14%

Luis Felipe Romero Peña
6%

Jordy Estiven Rioja Cruzado
5%

Carlos Augusto Peña Reluz
19%

Félix Orlando Gamarra Reyes
17%

Nilton Emilio Chafloque Córdova
19%
José Francisco Gálvez Tineo 19%
Miguel Ángel Bartra Grosso 19%
Agustín Villarreal Granados 18%
César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama 18%

José Francisco Gálvez Tineo
19%

Miguel Ángel Bartra Grosso
19%

Agustín Villarreal Granados
18%

César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama
18%

Duber Alberto Fernández Silva
17%

Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez
17%

Marixa Quispe Izquierdo
16%

Jorge Luis Arboleda Ñeco
15%

Luis Eduardo Cabrejos Orellana
15%

Elber Requejo Sánchez
15%

Manuel Enrique Calvay Salinas
15%

Héctor Agustín Aguinaga Fernández
15%

Edinson Lozano Ramírez
14%

Luis Felipe Romero Peña
6%

Jordy Estiven Rioja Cruzado
5%

Carlos Augusto Peña Reluz
19%

Félix Orlando Gamarra Reyes
17%

Nilton Emilio Chafloque Córdova
19%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Chiclayo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Chiclayo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Chiclayo shows Edwin Vásquez Sánchez holding a lead around 33 percent, yet the prediction market prices remain tightly clustered below 20 percent for him and several rivals including José Francisco Gálvez Tineo and Carlos Augusto Peña Reluz. This reflects a highly fragmented field of over twenty registered candidates, limited name recognition for many newcomers, and shifting local alliances ahead of the October 4, 2026 municipal vote. Trader consensus treats the outcome as open because no candidate has consolidated broad support across key districts, and historical patterns in Peruvian provincial races demonstrate late swings from endorsements, debates, or regional economic concerns. Further surveys or candidate withdrawals within the next six weeks could quickly widen spreads.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen