Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchored by its urban and suburban voter base in the Portland corridor. Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican Barbara Kahl emerged as the GOP nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, the absence of competitive polling, and limited late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome. A national political wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOR-01 Wahlsieger
OR-01 Wahlsieger
$27,327 Vol.
$27,327 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
96%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$27,327 Vol.
$27,327 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$10,566 Vol.
96%
Republikanische Partei
$16,762 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchored by its urban and suburban voter base in the Portland corridor. Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican Barbara Kahl emerged as the GOP nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, the absence of competitive polling, and limited late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome. A national political wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$27,327Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchored by its urban and suburban voter base in the Portland corridor. Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican Barbara Kahl emerged as the GOP nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, the absence of competitive polling, and limited late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome. A national political wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,327Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchored by its urban and suburban voter base in the Portland corridor. Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican Barbara Kahl emerged as the GOP nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 95% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, the absence of competitive polling, and limited late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome. A national political wave, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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