Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–25 seat range, reflecting sustained voter fatigue with Benjamin Netanyahu's long tenure, the lingering impact of the October 7 attacks and subsequent security challenges, and internal party strains from primaries and leadership control over the slate. These factors have eroded support from the party's 2022 total of 32 seats while a fragmented opposition—particularly Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar—has drawn comparable backing in multiple surveys. The close market split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands mirrors this volatility, with outcomes hinging on turnout among religious and centrist blocs plus any late shifts from campaign developments or security events before the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,301 Vol.
$99,301 Vol.
27. Okt. 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
15%
35+
3%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,301 Vol.
$99,301 Vol.
27. Okt. 2026
<20
$33,017 Vol.
19%
20-24
$15,423 Vol.
33%
25-29
$24,287 Vol.
35%
30-34
$18,387 Vol.
15%
35+
$8,186 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–25 seat range, reflecting sustained voter fatigue with Benjamin Netanyahu's long tenure, the lingering impact of the October 7 attacks and subsequent security challenges, and internal party strains from primaries and leadership control over the slate. These factors have eroded support from the party's 2022 total of 32 seats while a fragmented opposition—particularly Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar—has drawn comparable backing in multiple surveys. The close market split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands mirrors this volatility, with outcomes hinging on turnout among religious and centrist blocs plus any late shifts from campaign developments or security events before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$99,301Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–25 seat range, reflecting sustained voter fatigue with Benjamin Netanyahu's long tenure, the lingering impact of the October 7 attacks and subsequent security challenges, and internal party strains from primaries and leadership control over the slate. These factors have eroded support from the party's 2022 total of 32 seats while a fragmented opposition—particularly Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar—has drawn comparable backing in multiple surveys. The close market split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands mirrors this volatility, with outcomes hinging on turnout among religious and centrist blocs plus any late shifts from campaign developments or security events before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$99,301Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–25 seat range, reflecting sustained voter fatigue with Benjamin Netanyahu's long tenure, the lingering impact of the October 7 attacks and subsequent security challenges, and internal party strains from primaries and leadership control over the slate. These factors have eroded support from the party's 2022 total of 32 seats while a fragmented opposition—particularly Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar—has drawn comparable backing in multiple surveys. The close market split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands mirrors this volatility, with outcomes hinging on turnout among religious and centrist blocs plus any late shifts from campaign developments or security events before the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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