Mike Rogers holds a strong position to carry Macomb County in Michigan’s 2026 Senate race due to the county’s suburban voter base and historical preference for Republican candidates in federal contests. Recent statewide polling shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining narrow leads or ties with Rogers in surveys from Marist, Siena, and others through late September, driven by support among women, younger voters, and college graduates. However, Macomb’s electorate has trended Republican in recent cycles, aligning with Rogers’ prior congressional representation in the broader region and his primary victory. The open-seat contest, with voting beginning in weeks, features heavy outside spending and turnout efforts focused on suburban battlegrounds like Macomb, where local issues and candidate familiarity continue to shape county-level outcomes ahead of the November general election.