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Politik·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga 68.3%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 27.9%

Francis James Allison Oyague 2.6%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 2.4%

Polymarket

$148,140 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 68.3%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 27.9%

Francis James Allison Oyague 2.6%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 2.4%

Polymarket

$148,140 Vol.

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$10,925 Vol.

68%

icon for Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

$51,056 Vol.

28%

icon for Francis James Allison Oyague

Francis James Allison Oyague

$18,982 Vol.

3%

icon for Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

$9,538 Vol.

2%

icon for Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

$5,168 Vol.

1%

icon for Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

$3,934 Vol.

1%

icon for Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

$9,596 Vol.

<1%

icon for Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

$3,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

$2,379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yehude Simón Munaro

Yehude Simón Munaro

$5,469 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

$1,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

$1,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

$1,799 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

$2,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

$1,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

$2,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

$1,684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

$1,898 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

$2,479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

$2,201 Vol.

<1%

icon for Segundo Valdez Zavala

Segundo Valdez Zavala

$1,769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

$2,073 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

$3,416 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular leads the Lima mayoral market at 68.3% implied probability, ahead of Carlos Bruce at 28.4% and all other listed candidates below 3%. Recent IEP polling from early September shows López Aliaga at 20.1% and Bruce at 17.1% with substantial undecided voters, consistent with his position as first regidor on a ticket that advanced after the original mayoral candidate resigned. Legal rulings by the JNE have upheld his eligibility despite challenges over potential indirect reelection rules, while his party maintains strong local organization and name recognition in key districts. Bruce trails as the main alternative from Somos Perú amid a fragmented field of over 20 candidates. The October 4 election date and ongoing voter indecision remain the primary variables that could still shift outcomes before resolution.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volumen
$148,140
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular leads the Lima mayoral market at 68.3% implied probability, ahead of Carlos Bruce at 28.4% and all other listed candidates below 3%. Recent IEP polling from early September shows López Aliaga at 20.1% and Bruce at 17.1% with substantial undecided voters, consistent with his position as first regidor on a ticket that advanced after the original mayoral candidate resigned. Legal rulings by the JNE have upheld his eligibility despite challenges over potential indirect reelection rules, while his party maintains strong local organization and name recognition in key districts. Bruce trails as the main alternative from Somos Perú amid a fragmented field of over 20 candidates. The October 4 election date and ongoing voter indecision remain the primary variables that could still shift outcomes before resolution.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volumen
$148,140
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Lima Mayoral Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 23 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Rafael López Aliaga" mit 68%, gefolgt von „Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" mit 28%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 68¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Lima Mayoral Election Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $148.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 24, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Lima Mayoral Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 23 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Lima Mayoral Election Winner" ist „Rafael López Aliaga" mit 68%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" mit 28%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Lima Mayoral Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.