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Politik·Prominente

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

icon for Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?
Politik·Prominente

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

$1,061,248 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$1,061,248 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$73,094 Vol.

13%

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Tucker Carlson

$27,215 Vol.

12%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$3,386 Vol.

11%

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Kamala Harris

$55,129 Vol.

11%

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Rahm Emanuel

$12,731 Vol.

9%

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Don Lemon

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9%

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Donald Trump Jr.

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9%

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Pete Buttigieg

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9%

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Stephen A. Smith

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8%

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Andy Beshear

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8%

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Mark Kelly

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8%

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Matt Gaetz

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8%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

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8%

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Ted Cruz

$15,453 Vol.

7%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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7%

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7%

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Donald Trump

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7%

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Brian Kemp

$3,234 Vol.

7%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$8,198 Vol.

7%

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J.B. Pritzker

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6%

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Marco Rubio

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6%

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Glenn Youngkin

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6%

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Cory Booker

$15,631 Vol.

6%

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Rand Paul

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6%

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J.D. Vance

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6%

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Mark Cuban

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6%

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5%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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4%

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4%

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Greg Abbott

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4%

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Mike Pence

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3%

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Jon Stewart

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3%

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Erika Kirk

$25,655 Vol.

3%

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Ron DeSantis

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3%

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Wes Moore

$6,881 Vol.

3%

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Hunter Biden

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3%

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LeBron James

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3%

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Zohran Mamdani

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3%

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Hillary Clinton

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3%

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3%

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3%

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2%

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Elon Musk

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MrBeast

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2%

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Phil Murphy

$3,837 Vol.

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2%

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Tom Brady

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1%

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$6,769 Vol.

1%

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1%

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Katie Britt

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Bernie Sanders

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1%

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$6,153 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

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1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,904 Vol.

<1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$16,666 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its early exploratory phase, with no major-party candidates having formally announced bids. Potential contenders including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, JD Vance, and Marco Rubio continue to test support through polling, donor outreach, and public positioning without crossing into official campaigns. Gretchen Whitmer’s May comments ruling out then qualifying a 2028 run illustrate the fluid signals typical at this stage. Historical patterns show announcements clustering after midterm elections, and the DNC’s July proposal for early 2028 primary windows has not yet triggered declarations. Trader consensus reflects these timelines, assigning modest probabilities to near-term announcements absent sudden shifts from retirements, scandals, or strategic calculations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,061,248
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its early exploratory phase, with no major-party candidates having formally announced bids. Potential contenders including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, JD Vance, and Marco Rubio continue to test support through polling, donor outreach, and public positioning without crossing into official campaigns. Gretchen Whitmer’s May comments ruling out then qualifying a 2028 run illustrate the fluid signals typical at this stage. Historical patterns show announcements clustering after midterm elections, and the DNC’s July proposal for early 2028 primary windows has not yet triggered declarations. Trader consensus reflects these timelines, assigning modest probabilities to near-term announcements absent sudden shifts from retirements, scandals, or strategic calculations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,061,248
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

85%
Ja
icon for Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

3%
Ja
icon for Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

11%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 71+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Gavin Newsom" mit 13%, gefolgt von „Tucker Carlson" mit 12%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 13¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 13% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 19, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist „Gavin Newsom" mit 13%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 13% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Tucker Carlson" mit 12%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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