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Politik·Prominente

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

icon for Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?
Politik·Prominente

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

$1,065,664 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$1,065,664 Vol.

Polymarket
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Gavin Newsom

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13%

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Gretchen Whitmer

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11%

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Tucker Carlson

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11%

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Kamala Harris

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11%

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Rahm Emanuel

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Don Lemon

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9%

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Pete Buttigieg

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8%

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1%

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<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids, consistent with historical patterns where noteworthy declarations typically accelerate after midterm elections rather than in the preceding even year. Potential contenders across parties, including governors, senators, and former officials, are actively building profiles through public appearances, exploratory moves, and media interviews, yet most have signaled decisions will follow the November 2026 midterms. This timeline reflects standard campaign pacing, where early positioning occurs without immediate formal entry into the race. Scheduled events such as post-midterm reflections and state-level reelection cycles could prompt initial announcements in late 2026 or early 2027, shaping trader assessments of who might move first.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,065,664
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids, consistent with historical patterns where noteworthy declarations typically accelerate after midterm elections rather than in the preceding even year. Potential contenders across parties, including governors, senators, and former officials, are actively building profiles through public appearances, exploratory moves, and media interviews, yet most have signaled decisions will follow the November 2026 midterms. This timeline reflects standard campaign pacing, where early positioning occurs without immediate formal entry into the race. Scheduled events such as post-midterm reflections and state-level reelection cycles could prompt initial announcements in late 2026 or early 2027, shaping trader assessments of who might move first.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,065,664
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

85%
Ja
icon for Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

3%
Ja
icon for Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

11%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 71+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Gavin Newsom" mit 13%, gefolgt von „Gretchen Whitmer" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 13¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 13% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 19, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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