Early positioning in the 2028 Republican cycle keeps the vice presidential nomination market competitive, with Marco Rubio at 29.5% and Nikki Haley at 20.1% reflecting their elevated profiles from Senate and administration roles alongside broad name recognition. Rubio’s service as secretary of state has strengthened his standing among party insiders, while Haley’s prior presidential bid sustains support from establishment-leaning voters. Lower probabilities for figures such as Thomas Massie, J.D. Vance, and Marjorie Taylor Greene highlight how the eventual presidential nominee’s choice will hinge on coalition-building needs, regional balance, and Senate dynamics rather than current polling alone. Upcoming midterms, cabinet actions, and early primary signals could shift these implied probabilities before formal selection.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMarco Rubio 30%
Thomas Massie 7.9%
J.D. Vance 8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.1%
$33,046 Vol.
$33,046 Vol.
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
5%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Nikki Haley
18%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
4%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
<1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
6%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
2%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio 30%
Thomas Massie 7.9%
J.D. Vance 8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.1%
$33,046 Vol.
$33,046 Vol.
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
5%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Nikki Haley
18%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
4%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
<1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
6%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
2%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early positioning in the 2028 Republican cycle keeps the vice presidential nomination market competitive, with Marco Rubio at 29.5% and Nikki Haley at 20.1% reflecting their elevated profiles from Senate and administration roles alongside broad name recognition. Rubio’s service as secretary of state has strengthened his standing among party insiders, while Haley’s prior presidential bid sustains support from establishment-leaning voters. Lower probabilities for figures such as Thomas Massie, J.D. Vance, and Marjorie Taylor Greene highlight how the eventual presidential nominee’s choice will hinge on coalition-building needs, regional balance, and Senate dynamics rather than current polling alone. Upcoming midterms, cabinet actions, and early primary signals could shift these implied probabilities before formal selection.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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