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icon for Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2028 ankündigen?
Politik·Präsident

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2028 ankündigen?

icon for Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2028 ankündigen?
Politik·Präsident

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2028 ankündigen?

$36,665 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$36,665 Vol.

Polymarket
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Pete Buttigieg

$22 Vol.

90%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$2,997 Vol.

78%

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Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

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J.D. Vance

$95 Vol.

76%

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Rahm Emanuel

$60 Vol.

76%

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Ted Cruz

$1,115 Vol.

74%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,005 Vol.

60%

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J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

68%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$525 Vol.

67%

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Josh Shapiro

$80 Vol.

66%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$448 Vol.

74%

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Cory Booker

$818 Vol.

63%

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Mark Kelly

$100 Vol.

63%

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Wes Moore

$120 Vol.

59%

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Nikki Haley

$20 Vol.

59%

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Josh Hawley

$1,256 Vol.

38%

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Elise Stefanik

$0 Vol.

50%

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Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

49%

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Marco Rubio

$1,046 Vol.

49%

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Don Lemon

$0 Vol.

48%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

48%

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Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

48%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,232 Vol.

47%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$482 Vol.

38%

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Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

36%

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Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

34%

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Andrew Yang

$1,159 Vol.

42%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$60 Vol.

32%

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Glenn Youngkin

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30%

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$60 Vol.

30%

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Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

29%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$145 Vol.

28%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$462 Vol.

28%

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Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

27%

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Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

27%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$332 Vol.

26%

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Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

26%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$333 Vol.

26%

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Tucker Carlson

$710 Vol.

23%

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Liz Cheney

$1,350 Vol.

22%

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John Fetterman

$1,639 Vol.

21%

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$974 Vol.

20%

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Phil Murphy

$463 Vol.

20%

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20%

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$701 Vol.

19%

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Mark Cuban

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19%

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Jon Stewart

$1,214 Vol.

18%

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Bernie Sanders

$975 Vol.

18%

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Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

17%

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John Thune

$203 Vol.

17%

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Beto O’Rourke

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17%

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Mike Pence

$542 Vol.

17%

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$270 Vol.

16%

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16%

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Michelle Obama

$783 Vol.

16%

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Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

15%

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Hunter Biden

$1,265 Vol.

15%

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Byron Donalds

$0 Vol.

14%

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Kim Kardashian

$1,430 Vol.

14%

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MrBeast

$902 Vol.

13%

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$944 Vol.

13%

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Hillary Clinton

$1,850 Vol.

13%

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Roy Cooper

$0 Vol.

12%

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Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

12%

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Oprah Winfrey

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12%

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Erika Kirk

$920 Vol.

10%

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$1,911 Vol.

8%

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Tom Brady

$0 Vol.

5%

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George Clooney

$0 Vol.

4%

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Chelsea Clinton

$63 Vol.

3%

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LeBron James

$90 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party frontrunners have formed exploratory committees or formally announced 2028 presidential bids, leaving trader consensus focused on which figures will move first amid ongoing positioning. The DNC’s July 2026 proposal for an early primary calendar starting with South Carolina has clarified timelines, while media discussion highlights potential Democratic contenders such as Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff alongside Republican names like JD Vance. Historical patterns show announcements typically accelerate after the 2026 midterms, with early filings limited to lesser-known candidates. Scheduled events including primary calendar votes and candidate travel could shift implied probabilities by signaling intent before the 2028 cycle intensifies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$36,665
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party frontrunners have formed exploratory committees or formally announced 2028 presidential bids, leaving trader consensus focused on which figures will move first amid ongoing positioning. The DNC’s July 2026 proposal for an early primary calendar starting with South Carolina has clarified timelines, while media discussion highlights potential Democratic contenders such as Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff alongside Republican names like JD Vance. Historical patterns show announcements typically accelerate after the 2026 midterms, with early filings limited to lesser-known candidates. Scheduled events including primary calendar votes and candidate travel could shift implied probabilities by signaling intent before the 2028 cycle intensifies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$36,665
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Tucker Carlson vor 2027 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Tucker Carlson vor 2027 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

13%
Ja
icon for Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

3%
Ja
icon for Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

11%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2028 ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 71+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Pete Buttigieg" mit 90%, gefolgt von „Gavin Newsom" mit 78%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 90¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2028 ankündigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $36.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 4, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2028 ankündigen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 71+ verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2028 ankündigen?" ist „Pete Buttigieg" mit 90%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Gavin Newsom" mit 78%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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