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Politik·Schweden

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Politik·Schweden

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

NEU
31. Jan. 2027
Polymarket

$6,278 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$2,074 Vol.

91%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$630 Vol.

85%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$670 Vol.

55%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$271 Vol.

55%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$45 Vol.

22%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$774 Vol.

22%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$939 Vol.

16%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$849 Vol.

10%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$26 Vol.

4%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s September 13, 2026, general election will determine the composition of the next government through post-election coalition negotiations in the Riksdag under proportional representation. The incumbent right-wing Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, externally supported by the Sweden Democrats—currently govern as a minority. Recent polling consistently shows the centre-left bloc, led by the Social Democrats and including the Left and Green parties, holding a clear lead, while the right-wing grouping trails. Prime Minister Kristersson’s April pledge to bring the Sweden Democrats into a formal majority cabinet if the right prevails has clarified one potential path. Focus areas include crime, immigration, economic conditions, and election security measures ahead of early voting and the final campaign weeks. Coalition arithmetic and any late shifts in bloc support will shape the outcome.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volumen
$6,278
Enddatum
31. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s September 13, 2026, general election will determine the composition of the next government through post-election coalition negotiations in the Riksdag under proportional representation. The incumbent right-wing Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, externally supported by the Sweden Democrats—currently govern as a minority. Recent polling consistently shows the centre-left bloc, led by the Social Democrats and including the Left and Green parties, holding a clear lead, while the right-wing grouping trails. Prime Minister Kristersson’s April pledge to bring the Sweden Democrats into a formal majority cabinet if the right prevails has clarified one potential path. Focus areas include crime, immigration, economic conditions, and election security measures ahead of early voting and the final campaign weeks. Coalition arithmetic and any late shifts in bloc support will shape the outcome.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volumen
$6,278
Enddatum
31. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) bei der schwedischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?

Wird die Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) bei der schwedischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?

98%
Ja
icon for Schwedische Parlamentswahl: Gewinnen die Liberalen Sitze?

Schwedische Parlamentswahl: Gewinnen die Liberalen Sitze?

13%
Ja
icon for Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

28%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" mit 91%, gefolgt von „Green Party (MP)" mit 85%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 91¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 91% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?" ist „Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" mit 91%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 91% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Green Party (MP)" mit 85%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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