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Politik·Globale Wahlen

Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl

icon for Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl

Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) 91%

Schwedendemokraten (SD) 4.3%

Moderate Partei (M) 3.6%

Bürgerkoalition (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,099,982 Vol.

Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) 91%

Schwedendemokraten (SD) 4.3%

Moderate Partei (M) 3.6%

Bürgerkoalition (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,099,982 Vol.

icon for Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S)

Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S)

$36,099 Vol.

91%

icon for Schwedendemokraten (SD)

Schwedendemokraten (SD)

$513,784 Vol.

4%

icon for Moderate Partei (M)

Moderate Partei (M)

$380,294 Vol.

4%

icon for Bürgerkoalition (MED)

Bürgerkoalition (MED)

$14,084 Vol.

1%

icon for Christdemokraten (KD)

Christdemokraten (KD)

$14,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Linkspartei (V)

Linkspartei (V)

$15,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberale (L)

Liberale (L)

$14,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zentrumspartei (C)

Zentrumspartei (C)

$16,651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grüne Partei (MP)

Grüne Partei (MP)

$94,570 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands a dominant polling lead of around 33% in late April and early May surveys from Verian, Ipsos, Demoskop, and others, roughly 14-17 points ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 17-19% and far surpassing Moderate Party (M) below 7%, driving trader consensus to price S as 90.5% likely to secure the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13 under proportional representation. This reflects sustained opposition strength against the incumbent Tidö coalition's struggles, with left-leaning bloc projections nearing majority amid voter dissatisfaction. While S's historical incumbency edge bolsters odds, challenges could arise from SD surges on immigration, economic shocks favoring right-wing parties, or S scandals eroding support before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$1,099,982
Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands a dominant polling lead of around 33% in late April and early May surveys from Verian, Ipsos, Demoskop, and others, roughly 14-17 points ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 17-19% and far surpassing Moderate Party (M) below 7%, driving trader consensus to price S as 90.5% likely to secure the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13 under proportional representation. This reflects sustained opposition strength against the incumbent Tidö coalition's struggles, with left-leaning bloc projections nearing majority amid voter dissatisfaction. While S's historical incumbency edge bolsters odds, challenges could arise from SD surges on immigration, economic shocks favoring right-wing parties, or S scandals eroding support before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$1,099,982
Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S)" mit 91%, gefolgt von „Schwedendemokraten (SD)" mit 4%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 91¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 91% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 4, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl" ist „Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S)" mit 91%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 91% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Schwedendemokraten (SD)" mit 4%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der schwedischen Parlamentswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.