United Russia holds dominant positions ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections through administrative resources, constituency redistricting, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and exclusion of independent opposition candidates. Recent 2025 regional contests saw the party secure overwhelming majorities in nearly all legislatures and all but one gubernatorial race, consistent with its record since 2021. Kremlin adjustments lowered some regional vote-share targets to around 45–50 percent amid softening support indicators, while still prioritizing majorities via party restructuring and nomination of war veterans. These controls underpin trader consensus on the “Yes” outcome for sweeping every region, tempered by uncertainty over turnout and localized results in less managed areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
62% Chance
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
Ja
62% Chance
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds dominant positions ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections through administrative resources, constituency redistricting, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and exclusion of independent opposition candidates. Recent 2025 regional contests saw the party secure overwhelming majorities in nearly all legislatures and all but one gubernatorial race, consistent with its record since 2021. Kremlin adjustments lowered some regional vote-share targets to around 45–50 percent amid softening support indicators, while still prioritizing majorities via party restructuring and nomination of war veterans. These controls underpin trader consensus on the “Yes” outcome for sweeping every region, tempered by uncertainty over turnout and localized results in less managed areas.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Volumen
$2,399Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds dominant positions ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections through administrative resources, constituency redistricting, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and exclusion of independent opposition candidates. Recent 2025 regional contests saw the party secure overwhelming majorities in nearly all legislatures and all but one gubernatorial race, consistent with its record since 2021. Kremlin adjustments lowered some regional vote-share targets to around 45–50 percent amid softening support indicators, while still prioritizing majorities via party restructuring and nomination of war veterans. These controls underpin trader consensus on the “Yes” outcome for sweeping every region, tempered by uncertainty over turnout and localized results in less managed areas.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$2,399Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Russia holds dominant positions ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections through administrative resources, constituency redistricting, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and exclusion of independent opposition candidates. Recent 2025 regional contests saw the party secure overwhelming majorities in nearly all legislatures and all but one gubernatorial race, consistent with its record since 2021. Kremlin adjustments lowered some regional vote-share targets to around 45–50 percent amid softening support indicators, while still prioritizing majorities via party restructuring and nomination of war veterans. These controls underpin trader consensus on the “Yes” outcome for sweeping every region, tempered by uncertainty over turnout and localized results in less managed areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?
99%
Ja
Wird Einiges Russland (ER) bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen?
70%
Ja
Wird Einiges Russland bei der nächsten Wahl zur russischen Staatsduma zwischen 325 und 339 Sitze gewinnen?
30%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen