**Clay Fuller (R) and Shawn Harris (D) remain closely matched in trader pricing for Georgia’s 14th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, with Democrat-win shares near 38 percent and Republican margin buckets clustered around 36–37 percent.** The district’s recent special-election history explains much of the tightness: Harris improved markedly on prior showings against the prior incumbent, holding Fuller to a 56–44 percent runoff victory in April 2026 after a crowded March primary. That result, combined with Harris’s unopposed Democratic primary and Fuller’s comfortable but not overwhelming Republican primary win in May, has kept implied victory margins narrower than the district’s historical Republican lean would suggest. Key factors sustaining the contest include suburban pockets near Atlanta that have trended less Republican in recent cycles, variable midterm turnout patterns, and the absence of new public polling to clarify the baseline. Developments that could widen separation include release of district-specific surveys, shifts in national economic or approval indicators that affect down-ballot voting, late-cycle fundraising or endorsement surges, and turnout differentials in the November general election. Resolution hinges on certified vote totals for the full term beginning in January 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRepublican 30-35% 38%
Republican 25-30% 38%
Republican 0-10% 38%
Democrat Wins 38%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republican 40%+
37%
Republican 35-40%
37%
Republican 30-35%
38%
Republican 25-30%
38%
Republican 20-25%
37%
Republican 15-20%
37%
Republican 10-15%
37%
Republican 0-10%
38%
Democrat Wins
38%
Republican 30-35% 38%
Republican 25-30% 38%
Republican 0-10% 38%
Democrat Wins 38%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republican 40%+
$0 Vol.
37%
Republican 35-40%
$0 Vol.
37%
Republican 30-35%
$0 Vol.
38%
Republican 25-30%
$0 Vol.
38%
Republican 20-25%
$0 Vol.
37%
Republican 15-20%
$0 Vol.
37%
Republican 10-15%
$0 Vol.
37%
Republican 0-10%
$0 Vol.
38%
Democrat Wins
$0 Vol.
38%
The 2026 GA-14 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-14 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Clay Fuller (R) and Shawn Harris (D) remain closely matched in trader pricing for Georgia’s 14th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, with Democrat-win shares near 38 percent and Republican margin buckets clustered around 36–37 percent.**
The district’s recent special-election history explains much of the tightness: Harris improved markedly on prior showings against the prior incumbent, holding Fuller to a 56–44 percent runoff victory in April 2026 after a crowded March primary. That result, combined with Harris’s unopposed Democratic primary and Fuller’s comfortable but not overwhelming Republican primary win in May, has kept implied victory margins narrower than the district’s historical Republican lean would suggest.
Key factors sustaining the contest include suburban pockets near Atlanta that have trended less Republican in recent cycles, variable midterm turnout patterns, and the absence of new public polling to clarify the baseline. Developments that could widen separation include release of district-specific surveys, shifts in national economic or approval indicators that affect down-ballot voting, late-cycle fundraising or endorsement surges, and turnout differentials in the November general election. Resolution hinges on certified vote totals for the full term beginning in January 2027.
The 2026 GA-14 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-14 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-14 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 GA-14 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-14 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Clay Fuller (R) and Shawn Harris (D) remain closely matched in trader pricing for Georgia’s 14th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, with Democrat-win shares near 38 percent and Republican margin buckets clustered around 36–37 percent.**
The district’s recent special-election history explains much of the tightness: Harris improved markedly on prior showings against the prior incumbent, holding Fuller to a 56–44 percent runoff victory in April 2026 after a crowded March primary. That result, combined with Harris’s unopposed Democratic primary and Fuller’s comfortable but not overwhelming Republican primary win in May, has kept implied victory margins narrower than the district’s historical Republican lean would suggest.
Key factors sustaining the contest include suburban pockets near Atlanta that have trended less Republican in recent cycles, variable midterm turnout patterns, and the absence of new public polling to clarify the baseline. Developments that could widen separation include release of district-specific surveys, shifts in national economic or approval indicators that affect down-ballot voting, late-cycle fundraising or endorsement surges, and turnout differentials in the November general election. Resolution hinges on certified vote totals for the full term beginning in January 2027.
The 2026 GA-14 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-14 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-14 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clay Fuller (R) and Shawn Harris (D) remain closely matched in trader pricing for Georgia’s 14th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, with Democrat-win shares near 38 percent and Republican margin buckets clustered around 36–37 percent.** The district’s recent special-election history explains much of the tightness: Harris improved markedly on prior showings against the prior incumbent, holding Fuller to a 56–44 percent runoff victory in April 2026 after a crowded March primary. That result, combined with Harris’s unopposed Democratic primary and Fuller’s comfortable but not overwhelming Republican primary win in May, has kept implied victory margins narrower than the district’s historical Republican lean would suggest. Key factors sustaining the contest include suburban pockets near Atlanta that have trended less Republican in recent cycles, variable midterm turnout patterns, and the absence of new public polling to clarify the baseline. Developments that could widen separation include release of district-specific surveys, shifts in national economic or approval indicators that affect down-ballot voting, late-cycle fundraising or endorsement surges, and turnout differentials in the November general election. Resolution hinges on certified vote totals for the full term beginning in January 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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