Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin
David Crowley 100.0%
Missy Hughes <1%
Sara Rodriguez <1%
Kelda Roys <1%
$3,441,581 Vol.
$3,441,581 Vol.
11. Aug. 2026
David Crowley
$1,407,523 Vol.
Ja
Missy Hughes
$12,261 Vol.
Nein
Sara Rodriguez
$53,484 Vol.
Nein
Kelda Roys
$17,711 Vol.
Nein
Joel Brennan
$16,322 Vol.
Nein
Chris Larson
$14,740 Vol.
Nein
Mandela Barnes
$48,661 Vol.
Nein
Francesca Hong
$1,835,669 Vol.
Nein
Brett Hulsey
$6,833 Vol.
Nein
Zachary Roper
$6,731 Vol.
Nein
Tim Jacobson
$6,521 Vol.
Nein
Melissa Agard
$7,313 Vol.
Nein
Tom Nelson
$7,812 Vol.
Nein
David Crowley 100.0%
Missy Hughes <1%
Sara Rodriguez <1%
Kelda Roys <1%
$3,441,581 Vol.
$3,441,581 Vol.
11. Aug. 2026
David Crowley
$1,407,523 Vol.
Ja
Missy Hughes
$12,261 Vol.
Nein
Sara Rodriguez
$53,484 Vol.
Nein
Kelda Roys
$17,711 Vol.
Nein
Joel Brennan
$16,322 Vol.
Nein
Chris Larson
$14,740 Vol.
Nein
Mandela Barnes
$48,661 Vol.
Nein
Francesca Hong
$1,835,669 Vol.
Nein
Brett Hulsey
$6,833 Vol.
Nein
Zachary Roper
$6,731 Vol.
Nein
Tim Jacobson
$6,521 Vol.
Nein
Melissa Agard
$7,313 Vol.
Nein
Tom Nelson
$7,812 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Aug 11 2026
Francesca Hong wins Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary
Francesca Hong plunges to 60%36%
Francesca Hong emerged as the winner of the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, solidifying her position as the party's nominee and marking a historic moment as a democratic socialist and first Asian American woman nominee.
Aug 11 2026
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor
David Crowley surges to 88%86%
On primary election day, Crowley surged in the final count, overtaking Francesca Hong and winning the Democratic nomination, reflected by a sharp price increase to 88%.
Jul 30 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin Democratic governor primary
Mandela Barnes drops to 0%13%
Mandela Barnes, former lieutenant governor and early front-runner, withdrew from the race citing Francesca Hong's insurmountable lead, which cleared the path for Hong and reshaped the primary dynamics.
Jul 29 2026
Francesca Hong surges in Democratic primary polls
Francesca Hong jumps to 38%8%
State Representative Francesca Hong surged in polls, leading the Democratic primary with strong progressive support, challenging establishment candidates and shaping the race dynamics.
Jul 28 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin governor race
Mandela Barnes drops to 1%12%
Barnes exited the race citing insurmountable polling deficits, which shifted support and market prices away from him, effectively ending his chances.
Jul 18 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Gov. Evers' endorsement
David Crowley jumps to 8%5%
Following Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary and received the endorsement of outgoing Governor Tony Evers, significantly boosting his campaign momentum.
Jul 17 2026
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor race amid campaign finance issues
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign due to financial discrepancies and management issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and leading to David Crowley reentering the race.
Jul 17 2026
Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor primary
Sara Rodriguez dips to 0%1%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign citing financial reporting issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and opening the door for David Crowley to reenter the race.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 41%41%
Following Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary, gaining a significant boost with Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, which increased his market price substantially.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley re-enters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 24%24%
Crowley relaunched his campaign and received a key endorsement from Governor Tony Evers, leading to a significant rebound in his market price and renewed competitiveness in the primary.
Jul 13 2026
Sara Rodriguez fires campaign manager amid financial mismanagement
Sara Rodriguez drops to 1%7%
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez fired her campaign manager after discovering significant financial discrepancies, triggering a crisis that undermined her campaign's viability.
Jul 8 2026
David Crowley suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
David Crowley suspended his gubernatorial campaign and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, signaling a consolidation of establishment support and affecting market perceptions of the race.
Jul 8 2026
Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley withdraws from governor's race
David Crowley drops to 1%9%
David Crowley suspended his campaign, causing his market price to drop sharply as his chances of winning diminished temporarily.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes drops to 0%5%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes dropped out of the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating establishment support behind Rodriguez and impacting the dynamics of the race.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting her market price.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign and endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes suspended her campaign and endorsed Lt. Governor Sara Rodriguez, consolidating moderate support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Aug 11 2026
Francesca Hong wins Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary
Francesca Hong plunges to 60%36%
Francesca Hong emerged as the winner of the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, solidifying her position as the party's nominee and marking a historic moment as a democratic socialist and first Asian American woman nominee.
Aug 11 2026
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor
David Crowley surges to 88%86%
On primary election day, Crowley surged in the final count, overtaking Francesca Hong and winning the Democratic nomination, reflected by a sharp price increase to 88%.
Jul 30 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin Democratic governor primary
Mandela Barnes drops to 0%13%
Mandela Barnes, former lieutenant governor and early front-runner, withdrew from the race citing Francesca Hong's insurmountable lead, which cleared the path for Hong and reshaped the primary dynamics.
Jul 29 2026
Francesca Hong surges in Democratic primary polls
Francesca Hong jumps to 38%8%
State Representative Francesca Hong surged in polls, leading the Democratic primary with strong progressive support, challenging establishment candidates and shaping the race dynamics.
Jul 28 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin governor race
Mandela Barnes drops to 1%12%
Barnes exited the race citing insurmountable polling deficits, which shifted support and market prices away from him, effectively ending his chances.
Jul 18 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Gov. Evers' endorsement
David Crowley jumps to 8%5%
Following Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary and received the endorsement of outgoing Governor Tony Evers, significantly boosting his campaign momentum.
Jul 17 2026
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor race amid campaign finance issues
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign due to financial discrepancies and management issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and leading to David Crowley reentering the race.
Jul 17 2026
Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor primary
Sara Rodriguez dips to 0%1%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign citing financial reporting issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and opening the door for David Crowley to reenter the race.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 41%41%
Following Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary, gaining a significant boost with Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, which increased his market price substantially.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley re-enters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 24%24%
Crowley relaunched his campaign and received a key endorsement from Governor Tony Evers, leading to a significant rebound in his market price and renewed competitiveness in the primary.
Jul 13 2026
Sara Rodriguez fires campaign manager amid financial mismanagement
Sara Rodriguez drops to 1%7%
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez fired her campaign manager after discovering significant financial discrepancies, triggering a crisis that undermined her campaign's viability.
Jul 8 2026
David Crowley suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
David Crowley suspended his gubernatorial campaign and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, signaling a consolidation of establishment support and affecting market perceptions of the race.
Jul 8 2026
Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley withdraws from governor's race
David Crowley drops to 1%9%
David Crowley suspended his campaign, causing his market price to drop sharply as his chances of winning diminished temporarily.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes drops to 0%5%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes dropped out of the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating establishment support behind Rodriguez and impacting the dynamics of the race.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting her market price.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign and endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes suspended her campaign and endorsed Lt. Governor Sara Rodriguez, consolidating moderate support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
„Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „David Crowley" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Missy Hughes" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.
Stand heute hat „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $3.4 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 11, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.
Um auf „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.
Der aktuelle Favorit für „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin" ist „David Crowley" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Missy Hughes" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.
Die Auflösungsregeln für „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.
Ja. Sie müssen nicht handeln, um informiert zu bleiben. Diese Seite dient als Live-Tracker für „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin". Die Ergebniswahrscheinlichkeiten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn neue Handelsgeschäfte eingehen. Sie können diese Seite als Lesezeichen speichern und den Kommentarbereich lesen, um zu sehen, was andere Händler sagen. Sie können auch die Zeitfilter im Diagramm nutzen, um zu sehen, wie sich die Quoten im Laufe der Zeit verändert haben.
Polymarket-Quoten werden von echten Händlern festgelegt, die echtes Geld hinter ihre Überzeugungen setzen, was tendenziell genaue Vorhersagen hervorbringt. Mit $3.4 million Handelsvolumen bei “Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin” aggregieren diese Preise das kollektive Wissen und die Überzeugung Tausender Teilnehmer — oft genauer als Umfragen, Expertenprognosen und traditionelle Erhebungen. Prognosemärkte wie Polymarket haben eine starke Erfolgsbilanz bei der Genauigkeit, besonders wenn Ereignisse sich ihrem Auflösungsdatum nähern. Beispielsweise hat Polymarket einen Einmonats-Genauigkeitswert von 94%. Für die neuesten Statistiken zur Vorhersagegenauigkeit von Polymarket besuchen Sie die Genauigkeitsseite auf Polymarket.
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Auf Polymarket repräsentiert der Preis jedes Ergebnisses die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes. Ein Preis von 100¢ für „David Crowley" im Markt „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin" bedeutet, dass Händler kollektiv eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von etwa 100% sehen, dass „David Crowley" das korrekte Ergebnis sein wird. Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile bei 100¢ kaufen und das Ergebnis korrekt ist, erhalten Sie $1,00 pro Anteil – ein Gewinn von 0¢ pro Anteil. Ist es falsch, sind diese Anteile $0 wert.
Der Markt „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin" wurde aufgelöst. Das endgültige Ergebnis wurde bestimmt und der Markt ist nicht mehr für den Handel geöffnet. Sie können weiterhin die historischen Quoten, Ergebniswahrscheinlichkeiten und Kommentare auf dieser Seite einsehen.
Der Markt „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin" hat eine aktive Community mit 50 Kommentaren, in der Händler ihre Analysen teilen, Ergebnisse diskutieren und aktuelle Entwicklungen besprechen. Scrollen Sie zum Kommentarbereich unten, um zu lesen, was andere Teilnehmer denken. Sie können auch nach „Top-Haltern" filtern oder den Tab „Aktivität" für einen Echtzeit-Feed von Handelsgeschäften prüfen.
Polymarket ist der größte Prognosemarkt der Welt, auf dem Sie informiert bleiben und von Ihrem Wissen über reale Ereignisse profitieren können. Händler kaufen und verkaufen Anteile an Ergebnissen zu Themen von Politik und Wahlen bis hin zu Krypto, Finanzen, Sport, Technologie und Kultur, einschließlich Märkten wie „Demokratischer Hauptgewinner des Gouverneurs von Wisconsin". Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten wider, die durch finanzielle Überzeugung gestützt werden — oft schneller und genauer als Umfragen, Experten oder traditionelle Erhebungen.
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