Recent polling from major Russian survey organizations shows fluctuating support among the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, keeping their probabilities for third place in the September 2026 State Duma election tightly clustered. VCIOM surveys have recently placed New People ahead in some samples while FOM results favor LDPR or KPRF, reflecting differences in methodology and respondent pools ahead of the official campaign launch. Party preparations, including regional outreach and responses to economic pressures, continue to influence positioning in the mixed proportional and single-mandate system. Separation among these contenders could emerge from shifts in turnout patterns or late adjustments by systemic opposition groups before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
New People (NL) 28%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 9%

United Russia (ER)
4%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
30%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
14%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
32%

Rodina
2%

Civic Platform (GP)
3%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
New People (NL) 28%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 9%

United Russia (ER)
4%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
30%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
14%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
32%

Rodina
2%

Civic Platform (GP)
3%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from major Russian survey organizations shows fluctuating support among the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, keeping their probabilities for third place in the September 2026 State Duma election tightly clustered. VCIOM surveys have recently placed New People ahead in some samples while FOM results favor LDPR or KPRF, reflecting differences in methodology and respondent pools ahead of the official campaign launch. Party preparations, including regional outreach and responses to economic pressures, continue to influence positioning in the mixed proportional and single-mandate system. Separation among these contenders could emerge from shifts in turnout patterns or late adjustments by systemic opposition groups before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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