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Politik·Rumänien

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politik·Rumänien

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Alexandru Nazare 47.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

Radu Burnete 6.5%

Ilie Bolojan 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,333,174 Vol.

Alexandru Nazare 47.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

Radu Burnete 6.5%

Ilie Bolojan 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,333,174 Vol.

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$224,826 Vol.

48%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$440,041 Vol.

23%

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$98,923 Vol.

7%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$168,112 Vol.

4%

icon for Siegfried Mureșan

Siegfried Mureșan

$11,043 Vol.

2%

icon for Eugen Tomac

Eugen Tomac

$260,843 Vol.

2%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$47,773 Vol.

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$106,012 Vol.

1%

icon for Traian Băsescu

Traian Băsescu

$60,634 Vol.

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$70,840 Vol.

1%

icon for Dan Motreanu

Dan Motreanu

$76,673 Vol.

1%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$152,553 Vol.

1%

icon for Ciprian Ciucu

Ciprian Ciucu

$46,381 Vol.

1%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$72,955 Vol.

1%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$76,195 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$83,766 Vol.

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$60,280 Vol.

1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$61,503 Vol.

1%

icon for Adrian Veștea

Adrian Veștea

$205,064 Vol.

1%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$68,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$46,483 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$56,429 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$59,344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$54,148 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$54,291 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$51,775 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$48,880 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$55,027 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$68,831 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$84,883 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$65,272 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$59,354 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$54,744 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$60,596 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victor Ponta

Victor Ponta

$58,401 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$61,865 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political deadlock since the May 2026 no-confidence vote that collapsed the pro-EU coalition under caretaker Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan has shaped trader consensus around PNL figures. Alexandru Nazare, serving as Finance Minister in the Bolojan cabinet with responsibility for fiscal stabilization amid economic pressures, leads at 47.5% as traders weigh PNL's institutional role and potential to secure parliamentary support. Sorin Grindeanu, PSD leader, follows at 22.9% reflecting that party's leverage in any majority-building talks and statements favoring renewed coalition efforts after parliament reconvenes in September. Lower probabilities for candidates like Radu Burnete and others stem from fragmented opposition positioning and the president's contested nomination process, which has heightened uncertainty over confirmation timelines and required 233-vote thresholds.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,333,174
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political deadlock since the May 2026 no-confidence vote that collapsed the pro-EU coalition under caretaker Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan has shaped trader consensus around PNL figures. Alexandru Nazare, serving as Finance Minister in the Bolojan cabinet with responsibility for fiscal stabilization amid economic pressures, leads at 47.5% as traders weigh PNL's institutional role and potential to secure parliamentary support. Sorin Grindeanu, PSD leader, follows at 22.9% reflecting that party's leverage in any majority-building talks and statements favoring renewed coalition efforts after parliament reconvenes in September. Lower probabilities for candidates like Radu Burnete and others stem from fragmented opposition positioning and the president's contested nomination process, which has heightened uncertainty over confirmation timelines and required 233-vote thresholds.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,333,174
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

49%
icon for Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

34%
icon for Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?

Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?

52%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Prime Minister of Romania?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Alexandru Nazare" mit 48%, gefolgt von „Sorin Grindeanu" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 48¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Prime Minister of Romania?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $3.3 million generiert, seit der Markt am May 5, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Prime Minister of Romania?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Prime Minister of Romania?" ist „Alexandru Nazare" mit 48%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Sorin Grindeanu" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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