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icon for Holborn und St. Pancras Nachwahl: Stimmen Sie über die Gewinnspanne ab
Politik·Vereinigtes Königreich

Holborn und St. Pancras Nachwahl: Stimmen Sie über die Gewinnspanne ab

icon for Holborn und St. Pancras Nachwahl: Stimmen Sie über die Gewinnspanne ab
Politik·Vereinigtes Königreich

Holborn und St. Pancras Nachwahl: Stimmen Sie über die Gewinnspanne ab

Labour 15 %+  42%

Labour 10-15 % 25%

Labour 0-5 % 19%

Labour 5-10 % 17%

Polymarket
NEU

Labour 15 %+  42%

Labour 10-15 % 25%

Labour 0-5 % 19%

Labour 5-10 % 17%

Polymarket
NEU

Labour 15 %+

$1,211 Vol.

42%

Labour 10-15 %

$140 Vol.

25%

Labour 5-10 %

$197 Vol.

10%

Labour 0-5 %

$144 Vol.

19%

Grüne 0-5 %

$132 Vol.

3%

Grüne 5-10%

$135 Vol.

6%

Grüne 10-15%

$610 Vol.

5%

Grüne 15%+

$74 Vol.

2%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this by-election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the candidate who wins the most valid votes and the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate in question. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If a candidate standing for a party other than the Labour Party or the Green Party wins the most valid votes, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins". If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose party name comes first in alphabetical order. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins". This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).The tight race in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election stems primarily from the strong Green challenge mounted by party leader Zack Polanski against Labour’s local candidate, Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali. The seat, vacated after Keir Starmer’s resignation on 1 September 2026, has seen Greens build support in recent Camden ward results and among progressive voters in this diverse central London constituency. With polling day set for 8 October and fifteen candidates on the ballot, traders price “another candidate wins” near even odds and Labour’s margin in the 10-15% or narrower bands, reflecting the competitive dynamic between the two leading contenders. Local priorities such as housing, alongside national political sentiment, continue to shape voter intentions in the final weeks.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this by-election.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the candidate who wins the most valid votes and the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate in question.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If a candidate standing for a party other than the Labour Party or the Green Party wins the most valid votes, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins".

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose party name comes first in alphabetical order.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins".

This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this by-election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the candidate who wins the most valid votes and the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate in question. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If a candidate standing for a party other than the Labour Party or the Green Party wins the most valid votes, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins". If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose party name comes first in alphabetical order. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins". This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$2,645
Enddatum
8. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this by-election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the candidate who wins the most valid votes and the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate in question. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If a candidate standing for a party other than the Labour Party or the Green Party wins the most valid votes, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins". If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose party name comes first in alphabetical order. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins". This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).The tight race in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election stems primarily from the strong Green challenge mounted by party leader Zack Polanski against Labour’s local candidate, Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali. The seat, vacated after Keir Starmer’s resignation on 1 September 2026, has seen Greens build support in recent Camden ward results and among progressive voters in this diverse central London constituency. With polling day set for 8 October and fifteen candidates on the ballot, traders price “another candidate wins” near even odds and Labour’s margin in the 10-15% or narrower bands, reflecting the competitive dynamic between the two leading contenders. Local priorities such as housing, alongside national political sentiment, continue to shape voter intentions in the final weeks.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this by-election.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the candidate who wins the most valid votes and the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate in question.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If a candidate standing for a party other than the Labour Party or the Green Party wins the most valid votes, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins".

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose party name comes first in alphabetical order.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins".

This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this by-election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the candidate who wins the most valid votes and the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate in question. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If a candidate standing for a party other than the Labour Party or the Green Party wins the most valid votes, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins". If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose party name comes first in alphabetical order. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another candidate wins". This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$2,645
Enddatum
8. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird der Kandidat der Labour-Partei bei der Nachwahl in Holborn und St Pancras 45-50 % der Stimmen erhalten?

Wird der Kandidat der Labour-Partei bei der Nachwahl in Holborn und St Pancras 45-50 % der Stimmen erhalten?

33%
Ja
icon for Wird der Kandidat der Grünen Partei bei der Nachwahl in Holborn und St Pancras 35-40 % der Stimmen erhalten?

Wird der Kandidat der Grünen Partei bei der Nachwahl in Holborn und St Pancras 35-40 % der Stimmen erhalten?

34%
Ja
icon for Wird Sagal Abdi-Wali die Nachwahl in Holborn und St Pancras gewinnen?

Wird Sagal Abdi-Wali die Nachwahl in Holborn und St Pancras gewinnen?

86%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Holborn und St. Pancras Nachwahl: Stimmen Sie über die Gewinnspanne ab" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Labour 15 %+ " mit 42%, gefolgt von „Labour 10-15 %" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 42¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Holborn und St. Pancras Nachwahl: Stimmen Sie über die Gewinnspanne ab" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Holborn und St. Pancras Nachwahl: Stimmen Sie über die Gewinnspanne ab" ist „Labour 15 %+ " mit 42%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Labour 10-15 %" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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