Recent August UK CPI data at 3.1% year-on-year, up from 2.9% in July and driven primarily by higher motor fuel prices amid elevated global energy costs, has positioned the 3.7-3.9% bucket as the leading outcome for the September annual rate at 38.5% implied probability. Core CPI held steady at 2.6%, signaling contained underlying pressures, while Bank of England projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 as energy effects pass through. Trader sentiment reflects this trajectory tempered by risks of further upside from volatile oil and gas markets, with Goldman Sachs highlighting potential for a 3.9% peak; upcoming September ONS release and BoE communications remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSeptember-Inflation UK - Jährlich
3,1–3,3 % 38%
≤2,7 % 23%
3,7-3,9 % 23%
2,8-3 % 22%
≤2,7 %
23%
2,8-3 %
22%
3,1–3,3 %
38%
3,4-3,6 %
17%
3,7-3,9 %
23%
4,0 %+
15%
3,1–3,3 % 38%
≤2,7 % 23%
3,7-3,9 % 23%
2,8-3 % 22%
≤2,7 %
23%
2,8-3 %
22%
3,1–3,3 %
38%
3,4-3,6 %
17%
3,7-3,9 %
23%
4,0 %+
15%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent August UK CPI data at 3.1% year-on-year, up from 2.9% in July and driven primarily by higher motor fuel prices amid elevated global energy costs, has positioned the 3.7-3.9% bucket as the leading outcome for the September annual rate at 38.5% implied probability. Core CPI held steady at 2.6%, signaling contained underlying pressures, while Bank of England projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 as energy effects pass through. Trader sentiment reflects this trajectory tempered by risks of further upside from volatile oil and gas markets, with Goldman Sachs highlighting potential for a 3.9% peak; upcoming September ONS release and BoE communications remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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