Trader sentiment for the September 2026 US annual inflation rate shows a tight contest, with 3.5% and 3.6% leading at 26.5% and 25.0% implied probabilities respectively amid a cluster of outcomes between 3.2% and 3.7%. This distribution reflects uncertainty over the latest CPI release, shaped by the recent inflation trajectory, cooling labor market conditions, and mixed signals from goods versus services prices. Key swing factors include energy and shelter components, prior monthly prints, and any revisions to August data. The market prices in probabilities rather than certainties ahead of the report, consistent with the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-capital bets on the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert3,5 % 26%
3,6 % 26%
3,7 % 16%
3,3 % 13%
≤2,9 %
5%
3,0 %
6%
3,1 %
10%
3,2 %
9%
3,3 %
13%
3,4 %
13%
3,5 %
26%
3,6 %
26%
3,7 %
16%
3,8 %
11%
3,9 %
6%
≥4,0 %
6%
3,5 % 26%
3,6 % 26%
3,7 % 16%
3,3 % 13%
≤2,9 %
5%
3,0 %
6%
3,1 %
10%
3,2 %
9%
3,3 %
13%
3,4 %
13%
3,5 %
26%
3,6 %
26%
3,7 %
16%
3,8 %
11%
3,9 %
6%
≥4,0 %
6%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the September 2026 US annual inflation rate shows a tight contest, with 3.5% and 3.6% leading at 26.5% and 25.0% implied probabilities respectively amid a cluster of outcomes between 3.2% and 3.7%. This distribution reflects uncertainty over the latest CPI release, shaped by the recent inflation trajectory, cooling labor market conditions, and mixed signals from goods versus services prices. Key swing factors include energy and shelter components, prior monthly prints, and any revisions to August data. The market prices in probabilities rather than certainties ahead of the report, consistent with the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-capital bets on the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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