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icon for Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz

Linhares Jiboia 46%

Tércio Tinôco 42%

Styvenson Valentim 42%

Rosália Fernandes 41%

Polymarket
NEU

Linhares Jiboia 46%

Tércio Tinôco 42%

Styvenson Valentim 42%

Rosália Fernandes 41%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$0 Vol.

27%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows a tight contest for Rio Grande do Norte’s two Senate seats, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) at 21%, Samanda de Lula (PT) at 18%, Coronel Hélio (PL) at 15%, and Rafael Motta (PDT) at 14%—all within the margin of error—while Zenaide Maia (PSD) trails slightly. This fragmented field, featuring multiple incumbents and party-backed challengers, leaves second place highly uncertain and sustains trader consensus near even odds across leading names. The October 4 election timeline, limited late-cycle polling, and absence of decisive coalition shifts or standout campaign moments keep probabilities compressed. Further surveys, formal alliances, or turnout patterns among key voter blocs could quickly reorder the ranking and widen gaps ahead of the first-round vote count.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows a tight contest for Rio Grande do Norte’s two Senate seats, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) at 21%, Samanda de Lula (PT) at 18%, Coronel Hélio (PL) at 15%, and Rafael Motta (PDT) at 14%—all within the margin of error—while Zenaide Maia (PSD) trails slightly. This fragmented field, featuring multiple incumbents and party-backed challengers, leaves second place highly uncertain and sustains trader consensus near even odds across leading names. The October 4 election timeline, limited late-cycle polling, and absence of decisive coalition shifts or standout campaign moments keep probabilities compressed. Further surveys, formal alliances, or turnout patterns among key voter blocs could quickly reorder the ranking and widen gaps ahead of the first-round vote count.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Samanda de Lula win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Samanda de Lula win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

45%
icon for Wird Manuela D'Ávila bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Sul die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Manuela D'Ávila bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Sul die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

44%
Ja
icon for Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

46%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 14 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Linhares Jiboia" mit 46%, gefolgt von „Tércio Tinôco" mit 42%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 46¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 14 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz" ist „Linhares Jiboia" mit 46%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Tércio Tinôco" mit 42%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.