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Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte

Henrique Lyra 43%

Álvaro Dias 43%

Dário Barbosa 41%

Allyson 38%

Polymarket
NEU

Henrique Lyra 43%

Álvaro Dias 43%

Dário Barbosa 41%

Allyson 38%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Allyson

Allyson

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Professor Roberio Paulino

Professor Roberio Paulino

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$0 Vol.

36%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows a fragmented field for the October 4 gubernatorial election, with Cadu Xavier (PT) holding a modest lead in first-round surveys while Álvaro Dias (PL), Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), and several others remain within striking distance. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices underscores high uncertainty, as no candidate has consolidated broad support across the state’s diverse regions or secured decisive endorsements from major coalitions. Key variables include the impact of national party dynamics, potential second-round alliances, and turnout patterns among swing voters in Natal and interior municipalities. Upcoming debates, candidate registration finalization, and any shifts in economic sentiment could quickly reorder preferences and create clearer separation among the contenders.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows a fragmented field for the October 4 gubernatorial election, with Cadu Xavier (PT) holding a modest lead in first-round surveys while Álvaro Dias (PL), Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), and several others remain within striking distance. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices underscores high uncertainty, as no candidate has consolidated broad support across the state’s diverse regions or secured decisive endorsements from major coalitions. Key variables include the impact of national party dynamics, potential second-round alliances, and turnout patterns among swing voters in Natal and interior municipalities. Upcoming debates, candidate registration finalization, and any shifts in economic sentiment could quickly reorder preferences and create clearer separation among the contenders.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

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Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Wird Eduardo Paes die Wahl zum Gouverneur von Rio de Janeiro gewinnen?

Wird Eduardo Paes die Wahl zum Gouverneur von Rio de Janeiro gewinnen?

97%
Ja
icon for Wird Raquel Lyra die Gouverneurswahl in Pernambuco gewinnen?

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Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Henrique Lyra" mit 43%, gefolgt von „Álvaro Dias" mit 43%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 43¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 43% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" ist „Henrique Lyra" mit 43%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 43% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Álvaro Dias" mit 43%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.