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Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 2. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 2. Platz

Marcelo Aro 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Marília Campos 44%

Manoel Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NEU

Marcelo Aro 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Marília Campos 44%

Manoel Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$20 Vol.

10%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$20 Vol.

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Traders view the Minas Gerais Senate race for second place as highly uncertain due to a fragmented field of roughly 13 candidates competing for two seats on October 4, 2026. Recent polls from Quaest, Ipan/Panorama, and others show Marília Campos (PT), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Domingos Sávio (PL) locked in tight technical ties, with support fluctuating between 9% and 24% depending on the scenario and alliance structures. Aécio Neves’s withdrawal in August has further redistributed voter intentions without creating a clear hierarchy. Smaller-party contenders such as Ana Luiza do MLB and Áurea Carolina trail but retain niche bases, while low-polling names like Marcelo Heringer and Fidélis Alcântara face steep structural barriers. This broad distribution of viable paths to second place sustains clustered market probabilities around 44–50% for the top tier, with any late consolidation of center-right or left-leaning coalitions the most likely catalyst for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$40
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Traders view the Minas Gerais Senate race for second place as highly uncertain due to a fragmented field of roughly 13 candidates competing for two seats on October 4, 2026. Recent polls from Quaest, Ipan/Panorama, and others show Marília Campos (PT), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Domingos Sávio (PL) locked in tight technical ties, with support fluctuating between 9% and 24% depending on the scenario and alliance structures. Aécio Neves’s withdrawal in August has further redistributed voter intentions without creating a clear hierarchy. Smaller-party contenders such as Ana Luiza do MLB and Áurea Carolina trail but retain niche bases, while low-polling names like Marcelo Heringer and Fidélis Alcântara face steep structural barriers. This broad distribution of viable paths to second place sustains clustered market probabilities around 44–50% for the top tier, with any late consolidation of center-right or left-leaning coalitions the most likely catalyst for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$40
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Carlin Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Carlin Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

44%
icon for Wird Coronel Darwin die zweitmeisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso erhalten?

Wird Coronel Darwin die zweitmeisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso erhalten?

43%
Ja
icon for Wird Capitão Alberto Neto bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Amazonas die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Capitão Alberto Neto bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Amazonas die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

43%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marcelo Aro" mit 44%, gefolgt von „Domingos Sávio" mit 44%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 44¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 2. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 2. Platz" ist „Marcelo Aro" mit 44%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Domingos Sávio" mit 44%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.