Skip to main content
icon for Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz

Marília Campos 48%

Jordano Metalúrgico 29%

Gustavo Galassi 18%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 18%

Polymarket
NEU

Marília Campos 48%

Jordano Metalúrgico 29%

Gustavo Galassi 18%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 18%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$66 Vol.

48%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$46 Vol.

29%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$46 Vol.

17%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$66 Vol.

16%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$119 Vol.

16%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$86 Vol.

17%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$75 Vol.

27%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$46 Vol.

17%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$46 Vol.

17%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$960
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) frequently topping or tying scenarios at 16-20%, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) in the 10-16% range. The August 16 start of official campaigning and absence of a dominant incumbent or consolidated coalition have kept support dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options. This broad distribution of preferences sustains low implied probabilities for any single name in the 1st-place market, as modest shifts in alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or late endorsements could reorder the top tier before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$960
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Manoel Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Manoel Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

25%
icon for Wird Professor Nelson Ferreira bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso die meisten Stimmen gewinnen?

Wird Professor Nelson Ferreira bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso die meisten Stimmen gewinnen?

41%
Ja
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

71%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marília Campos" mit 48%, gefolgt von „Jordano Metalúrgico" mit 28%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 48¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" ist „Marília Campos" mit 48%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jordano Metalúrgico" mit 28%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.