The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRenato Casagrande 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Fabiano Contarato 44%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Renato Casagrande
44%
Rodney Miranda
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
44%
Fabiano Contarato
44%
Leonardo Monjardim
44%
Maguinha Malta
44%
Marcos do Val
44%
Professor Fabian
44%
Rose de Freitas
44%
Callegari
43%
Evair de Melo
43%
Renato Casagrande 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Fabiano Contarato 44%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Renato Casagrande
$0 Vol.
44%
Rodney Miranda
$0 Vol.
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
$0 Vol.
44%
Fabiano Contarato
$0 Vol.
44%
Leonardo Monjardim
$0 Vol.
44%
Maguinha Malta
$0 Vol.
44%
Marcos do Val
$0 Vol.
44%
Professor Fabian
$0 Vol.
44%
Rose de Freitas
$0 Vol.
44%
Callegari
$0 Vol.
43%
Evair de Melo
$0 Vol.
43%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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