The Piauí Senate contest for the two seats up in 2026 features a fragmented field of roughly 20 registered candidates following the mid-August filing deadline, with polling showing a tight cluster among leading contenders including Marcelo Castro, Ciro Nogueira, and Júlio César in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties. This multi-candidate dynamic, combined with limited recent polling movement and vote-splitting among center, center-right, and smaller-party options, sustains uncertainty over second-place ordering. Trader pricing reflects this balance, where modest shifts in turnout, last-minute alliances, or regional mobilization could reorder the middle of the pack before October voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz
Francinaldo Leão 36%
Marcelo Castro 35%
Tiago Junqueira 32%
Antônio José Lira 32%

Francinaldo Leão
36%

Marcelo Castro
35%

Tiago Junqueira
32%

Antônio José Lira
32%

Jardenya Bezerra
32%

Cloves José
31%

Maria Madalena Nunes
19%

Toinho Dufrango
19%

Dionisio Carvalho
19%

Ciro Nogueira
19%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
18%

Irmão Evandro Marques
18%

Pastor Sena
18%

Julio Cesar
18%

Antônio Barros
18%

Danniel Rocha
18%

Jorge Lopes
18%

Alexandre Mariano
18%

Major Paulo Roberto
18%

Pedro Laurentino
17%
Francinaldo Leão 36%
Marcelo Castro 35%
Tiago Junqueira 32%
Antônio José Lira 32%

Francinaldo Leão
36%

Marcelo Castro
35%

Tiago Junqueira
32%

Antônio José Lira
32%

Jardenya Bezerra
32%

Cloves José
31%

Maria Madalena Nunes
19%

Toinho Dufrango
19%

Dionisio Carvalho
19%

Ciro Nogueira
19%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
18%

Irmão Evandro Marques
18%

Pastor Sena
18%

Julio Cesar
18%

Antônio Barros
18%

Danniel Rocha
18%

Jorge Lopes
18%

Alexandre Mariano
18%

Major Paulo Roberto
18%

Pedro Laurentino
17%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí Senate contest for the two seats up in 2026 features a fragmented field of roughly 20 registered candidates following the mid-August filing deadline, with polling showing a tight cluster among leading contenders including Marcelo Castro, Ciro Nogueira, and Júlio César in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties. This multi-candidate dynamic, combined with limited recent polling movement and vote-splitting among center, center-right, and smaller-party options, sustains uncertainty over second-place ordering. Trader pricing reflects this balance, where modest shifts in turnout, last-minute alliances, or regional mobilization could reorder the middle of the pack before October voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen