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icon for Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas

icon for Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas

Lula 71%

Flavio Bolsonaro 24%

Ronaldo Caiado 3.3%

Edmilson Costa 2.7%

Polymarket
NEU

Lula 71%

Flavio Bolsonaro 24%

Ronaldo Caiado 3.3%

Edmilson Costa 2.7%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Lula

Lula

$620 Vol.

71%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$236 Vol.

24%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$78 Vol.

3%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$151 Vol.

3%

icon for Zema

Zema

$94 Vol.

3%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$149 Vol.

2%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$113 Vol.

2%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$151 Vol.

2%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$164 Vol.

2%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$223 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$268 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$163 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$163 Vol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Amazonas for the October 4, 2026 first round stems from his established regional strength in Brazil's North among lower-income and traditional Workers' Party voters, reinforced by national polling showing him at 39-41% versus Flavio Bolsonaro at 30-36%. The incumbent's recent campaign launch and ongoing government initiatives on social programs have sustained this edge ahead of official campaigning, which began August 15. Fragmented opposition support across right-leaning candidates like Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others limits any single challenger's ability to close the gap in the state, where historical patterns favor Lula over the Liberal Party contender despite national tightening in second-round scenarios. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling dynamics with limited late shifts expected before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$2,573
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Amazonas for the October 4, 2026 first round stems from his established regional strength in Brazil's North among lower-income and traditional Workers' Party voters, reinforced by national polling showing him at 39-41% versus Flavio Bolsonaro at 30-36%. The incumbent's recent campaign launch and ongoing government initiatives on social programs have sustained this edge ahead of official campaigning, which began August 15. Fragmented opposition support across right-leaning candidates like Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others limits any single challenger's ability to close the gap in the state, where historical patterns favor Lula over the Liberal Party contender despite national tightening in second-round scenarios. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling dynamics with limited late shifts expected before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$2,573
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Pará erhalten?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Pará erhalten?

93%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

96%
Ja
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

67%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 71%, gefolgt von „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 71¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" ist „Lula" mit 71%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.