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Politik·Hauptwahl

Senatswahl Rondônia: 1. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Rondônia: 1. Platz
Politik·Hauptwahl

Senatswahl Rondônia: 1. Platz

Dr. Fernando Máximo 67%

Sílvia Cristina 15%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.0%

Acir Gurgacz 2.5%

Polymarket
NEU

Dr. Fernando Máximo 67%

Sílvia Cristina 15%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.0%

Acir Gurgacz 2.5%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Dr. Fernando Máximo

Dr. Fernando Máximo

$1,993 Vol.

67%

icon for Sílvia Cristina

Sílvia Cristina

$987 Vol.

15%

icon for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

$284 Vol.

8%

icon for Acir Gurgacz

Acir Gurgacz

$297 Vol.

2%

icon for Engenheiro Thulio

Engenheiro Thulio

$314 Vol.

2%

icon for Neidinha

Neidinha

$310 Vol.

2%

icon for Luis Fernando

Luis Fernando

$260 Vol.

1%

icon for Luciana Oliveira

Luciana Oliveira

$313 Vol.

1%

icon for Mariana Carvalho

Mariana Carvalho

$256 Vol.

1%

icon for Aires Mota

Aires Mota

$327 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s 2026 Senate race due to consistent polling advantages, including a July Real Time Big Data survey placing him at 19% in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions ahead of a fragmented field. Recent pre-candidacy confirmations and party positioning within PL have reinforced his frontrunner status for one of the two seats up for election. Sílvia Cristina (PP) holds second at 14.5% on name recognition from prior federal deputy service, while lower probabilities for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, Mariana Carvalho, Acir Gurgacz and others reflect divided opposition support and limited recent momentum in surveys. Market pricing tracks these trends ahead of October voting, with two vacancies and no major late shifts reported.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$5,341
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s 2026 Senate race due to consistent polling advantages, including a July Real Time Big Data survey placing him at 19% in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions ahead of a fragmented field. Recent pre-candidacy confirmations and party positioning within PL have reinforced his frontrunner status for one of the two seats up for election. Sílvia Cristina (PP) holds second at 14.5% on name recognition from prior federal deputy service, while lower probabilities for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, Mariana Carvalho, Acir Gurgacz and others reflect divided opposition support and limited recent momentum in surveys. Market pricing tracks these trends ahead of October voting, with two vacancies and no major late shifts reported.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$5,341
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

48%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?

96%
icon for Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

55%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Rondônia: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Dr. Fernando Máximo" mit 67%, gefolgt von „Sílvia Cristina" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 67¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl Rondônia: 1. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl Rondônia: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Rondônia: 1. Platz" ist „Dr. Fernando Máximo" mit 67%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Sílvia Cristina" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Rondônia: 1. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.