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Politik·Südafrika

Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?

icon for Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?
Politik·Südafrika

Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?

Geordin Hill-Lewis 81%

Nontando Nolutshungu 7%

Dereleen James 6%

Roger Solomons 6%

Polymarket
NEU

Geordin Hill-Lewis 81%

Nontando Nolutshungu 7%

Dereleen James 6%

Roger Solomons 6%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Geordin Hill-Lewis

Geordin Hill-Lewis

$480 Vol.

81%

icon for Nontando Nolutshungu

Nontando Nolutshungu

$135 Vol.

7%

icon for Dereleen James

Dereleen James

$104 Vol.

6%

icon for Roger Solomons

Roger Solomons

$104 Vol.

6%

icon for Cheslyn Steenberg

Cheslyn Steenberg

$90 Vol.

5%

icon for Khalid Sayed

Khalid Sayed

$139 Vol.

5%

icon for Ellen Pakkies

Ellen Pakkies

$105 Vol.

3%

icon for Brett Herron

Brett Herron

$89 Vol.

2%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor and party federal leader, holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Cape Town mayoral market ahead of the November 4, 2026 local government elections. His June 2026 selection as the DA candidate and subsequent campaign pledges on policing, service delivery, housing, and jobs have reinforced trader consensus around his re-election prospects in a metro long dominated by the party. Opposition nominees including Dereleen James of ActionSA, Brett Herron of the Good Party, Cheslyn Steenberg of the Patriotic Alliance, and Roger Solomons of Build One South Africa register single-digit odds, reflecting limited recent polling momentum or structural advantages. Scheduled voter registration deadlines and ongoing coalition dynamics in other metros remain key variables that could influence final margins.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,247
Enddatum
18. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the incumbent Democratic Alliance mayor and party federal leader, holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Cape Town mayoral market ahead of the November 4, 2026 local government elections. His June 2026 selection as the DA candidate and subsequent campaign pledges on policing, service delivery, housing, and jobs have reinforced trader consensus around his re-election prospects in a metro long dominated by the party. Opposition nominees including Dereleen James of ActionSA, Brett Herron of the Good Party, Cheslyn Steenberg of the Patriotic Alliance, and Roger Solomons of Build One South Africa register single-digit odds, reflecting limited recent polling momentum or structural advantages. Scheduled voter registration deadlines and ongoing coalition dynamics in other metros remain key variables that could influence final margins.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,247
Enddatum
18. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Geordin Hill-Lewis" mit 81%, gefolgt von „Nontando Nolutshungu" mit 7%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 81¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 81% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist „Geordin Hill-Lewis" mit 81%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 81% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Nontando Nolutshungu" mit 7%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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