Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid anti-government protests triggered by economic hardship and currency collapse, extending it through subsequent military conflict until partial restoration in late May after an 88-day period—the longest on record. Connectivity has since returned to roughly pre-January levels for some users, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and VPN effectiveness has declined under a tiered “whitelist” system favoring elites. Recent developments include a September 2026 draft cyberspace regulation bill that would further centralize gateway control under the Supreme Cyberspace Council, alongside ongoing reports of selective throttling and surveillance. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on escalation risks from protests, sanctions, or renewed conflict versus the regime’s shift toward sustained, selective restrictions rather than complete shutdowns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$249,128 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
1%
31. Dezember
21%
$249,128 Vol.
30. September
$6,892 Vol.
1%
31. Dezember
$12,785 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid anti-government protests triggered by economic hardship and currency collapse, extending it through subsequent military conflict until partial restoration in late May after an 88-day period—the longest on record. Connectivity has since returned to roughly pre-January levels for some users, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and VPN effectiveness has declined under a tiered “whitelist” system favoring elites. Recent developments include a September 2026 draft cyberspace regulation bill that would further centralize gateway control under the Supreme Cyberspace Council, alongside ongoing reports of selective throttling and surveillance. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on escalation risks from protests, sanctions, or renewed conflict versus the regime’s shift toward sustained, selective restrictions rather than complete shutdowns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$249,128Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid anti-government protests triggered by economic hardship and currency collapse, extending it through subsequent military conflict until partial restoration in late May after an 88-day period—the longest on record. Connectivity has since returned to roughly pre-January levels for some users, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and VPN effectiveness has declined under a tiered “whitelist” system favoring elites. Recent developments include a September 2026 draft cyberspace regulation bill that would further centralize gateway control under the Supreme Cyberspace Council, alongside ongoing reports of selective throttling and surveillance. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on escalation risks from protests, sanctions, or renewed conflict versus the regime’s shift toward sustained, selective restrictions rather than complete shutdowns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$249,128Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid anti-government protests triggered by economic hardship and currency collapse, extending it through subsequent military conflict until partial restoration in late May after an 88-day period—the longest on record. Connectivity has since returned to roughly pre-January levels for some users, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and VPN effectiveness has declined under a tiered “whitelist” system favoring elites. Recent developments include a September 2026 draft cyberspace regulation bill that would further centralize gateway control under the Supreme Cyberspace Council, alongside ongoing reports of selective throttling and surveillance. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on escalation risks from protests, sanctions, or renewed conflict versus the regime’s shift toward sustained, selective restrictions rather than complete shutdowns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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