Iran has exercised uninterrupted administrative and military control over Greater Tunb Island since seizing it in 1971 alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb, despite the UAE’s longstanding sovereignty claim and repeated GCC and Arab League statements urging resolution through negotiations or the International Court of Justice. US airstrikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps coastal defenses, cruise missile storage, and launch sites on the island as part of operations to protect Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, degrading military infrastructure without altering on-the-ground authority or prompting withdrawal. Iran has continued to register formal ownership documents and reject external claims, while no bilateral talks, UN actions, or other developments point to any transfer of control by late 2026. Trader pricing reflects these structural and recent realities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGreater Tunb Island nicht mehr unter iranischer Kontrolle von...?
Greater Tunb Island nicht mehr unter iranischer Kontrolle von...?
$55,050 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
1%
$55,050 Vol.
30. September
$382 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran has exercised uninterrupted administrative and military control over Greater Tunb Island since seizing it in 1971 alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb, despite the UAE’s longstanding sovereignty claim and repeated GCC and Arab League statements urging resolution through negotiations or the International Court of Justice. US airstrikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps coastal defenses, cruise missile storage, and launch sites on the island as part of operations to protect Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, degrading military infrastructure without altering on-the-ground authority or prompting withdrawal. Iran has continued to register formal ownership documents and reject external claims, while no bilateral talks, UN actions, or other developments point to any transfer of control by late 2026. Trader pricing reflects these structural and recent realities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volumen
$55,050Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran has exercised uninterrupted administrative and military control over Greater Tunb Island since seizing it in 1971 alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb, despite the UAE’s longstanding sovereignty claim and repeated GCC and Arab League statements urging resolution through negotiations or the International Court of Justice. US airstrikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps coastal defenses, cruise missile storage, and launch sites on the island as part of operations to protect Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, degrading military infrastructure without altering on-the-ground authority or prompting withdrawal. Iran has continued to register formal ownership documents and reject external claims, while no bilateral talks, UN actions, or other developments point to any transfer of control by late 2026. Trader pricing reflects these structural and recent realities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$55,050Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Iran has exercised uninterrupted administrative and military control over Greater Tunb Island since seizing it in 1971 alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb, despite the UAE’s longstanding sovereignty claim and repeated GCC and Arab League statements urging resolution through negotiations or the International Court of Justice. US airstrikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps coastal defenses, cruise missile storage, and launch sites on the island as part of operations to protect Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, degrading military infrastructure without altering on-the-ground authority or prompting withdrawal. Iran has continued to register formal ownership documents and reject external claims, while no bilateral talks, UN actions, or other developments point to any transfer of control by late 2026. Trader pricing reflects these structural and recent realities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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