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icon for Werden die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate den Golf-Kooperationsrat im Jahr 2026 verlassen?
Geopolitik·VAE

Werden die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate den Golf-Kooperationsrat im Jahr 2026 verlassen?

icon for Werden die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate den Golf-Kooperationsrat im Jahr 2026 verlassen?
Geopolitik·VAE

Werden die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate den Golf-Kooperationsrat im Jahr 2026 verlassen?

Ja

5% Chance
Polymarket

$100,301 Vol.

Ja

5% Chance
Polymarket

$100,301 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**UAE officials explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council after the country's April 2026 exit from OPEC, stating they are reassessing multilateral ties but have no plans for further departures.** This clarification directly addressed speculation that Abu Dhabi might leave the GCC amid Saudi-Emirati policy divergences over Yemen, Sudan, Libya, and responses to Iranian attacks during the 2026 conflict. GCC foreign ministers and the secretariat have continued regular coordination, including joint condemnations of strikes on member states and planning for the September 2026 ministerial session, with UAE participation in official statements. Historical precedent shows GCC members managing internal frictions—such as the 2017 Qatar crisis—without exits, and current trader consensus reflects the absence of any formal UAE announcement, legislative steps, or diplomatic signals indicating departure by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$100,301
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**UAE officials explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council after the country's April 2026 exit from OPEC, stating they are reassessing multilateral ties but have no plans for further departures.** This clarification directly addressed speculation that Abu Dhabi might leave the GCC amid Saudi-Emirati policy divergences over Yemen, Sudan, Libya, and responses to Iranian attacks during the 2026 conflict. GCC foreign ministers and the secretariat have continued regular coordination, including joint condemnations of strikes on member states and planning for the September 2026 ministerial session, with UAE participation in official statements. Historical precedent shows GCC members managing internal frictions—such as the 2017 Qatar crisis—without exits, and current trader consensus reflects the absence of any formal UAE announcement, legislative steps, or diplomatic signals indicating departure by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$100,301
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Werden die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate den Golf-Kooperationsrat im Jahr 2026 verlassen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird die VAE 2026 den Golf-Kooperationsrat verlassen?" mit 5%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 5¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 5% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „Werden die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate den Golf-Kooperationsrat im Jahr 2026 verlassen?" ist „Wird die VAE 2026 den Golf-Kooperationsrat verlassen?" mit nur 5%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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