The UAE’s exit from OPEC effective May 1, driven by disputes over production quotas and a desire for greater output flexibility amid regional supply disruptions, represents the primary recent catalyst for this market. No other member states have signaled parallel intentions, and the remaining OPEC+ producers reaffirmed coordinated production adjustments in early May meetings while stressing market stability. Historical exits remain infrequent, with prior departures tied to unique national priorities rather than widespread fragmentation. Traders therefore price the risk of additional 2026 exits as relatively contained, viewing the UAE move as an isolated adjustment rather than the start of broader departures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
$92,594 Vol.
$92,594 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
$92,594 Vol.
$92,594 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE’s exit from OPEC effective May 1, driven by disputes over production quotas and a desire for greater output flexibility amid regional supply disruptions, represents the primary recent catalyst for this market. No other member states have signaled parallel intentions, and the remaining OPEC+ producers reaffirmed coordinated production adjustments in early May meetings while stressing market stability. Historical exits remain infrequent, with prior departures tied to unique national priorities rather than widespread fragmentation. Traders therefore price the risk of additional 2026 exits as relatively contained, viewing the UAE move as an isolated adjustment rather than the start of broader departures.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volumen
$92,594Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE’s exit from OPEC effective May 1, driven by disputes over production quotas and a desire for greater output flexibility amid regional supply disruptions, represents the primary recent catalyst for this market. No other member states have signaled parallel intentions, and the remaining OPEC+ producers reaffirmed coordinated production adjustments in early May meetings while stressing market stability. Historical exits remain infrequent, with prior departures tied to unique national priorities rather than widespread fragmentation. Traders therefore price the risk of additional 2026 exits as relatively contained, viewing the UAE move as an isolated adjustment rather than the start of broader departures.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$92,594Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE’s exit from OPEC effective May 1, driven by disputes over production quotas and a desire for greater output flexibility amid regional supply disruptions, represents the primary recent catalyst for this market. No other member states have signaled parallel intentions, and the remaining OPEC+ producers reaffirmed coordinated production adjustments in early May meetings while stressing market stability. Historical exits remain infrequent, with prior departures tied to unique national priorities rather than widespread fragmentation. Traders therefore price the risk of additional 2026 exits as relatively contained, viewing the UAE move as an isolated adjustment rather than the start of broader departures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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