Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81% for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, driven by a recent U.S.-brokered 3-day ceasefire (May 9-11) that resolved tactical halt markets but exposed irreconcilable matchup dynamics on territory and sovereignty. Post-truce, Russia's aggressive drone barrages—over 800 reported strikes—signaled sustained offensive form despite Putin's optimistic rhetoric, while Ukraine's resolute defense rejected concessions, echoing stalled talks and violation accusations. With no breakthroughs in core negotiations and Kremlin insistence that full peace remains distant, the wisdom of crowds prices low upset potential for a multi-condition resolution amid ongoing frontline intensity and diplomatic gridlock.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$459,041 Vol.
$459,041 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$459,041 Vol.
$459,041 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81% for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, driven by a recent U.S.-brokered 3-day ceasefire (May 9-11) that resolved tactical halt markets but exposed irreconcilable matchup dynamics on territory and sovereignty. Post-truce, Russia's aggressive drone barrages—over 800 reported strikes—signaled sustained offensive form despite Putin's optimistic rhetoric, while Ukraine's resolute defense rejected concessions, echoing stalled talks and violation accusations. With no breakthroughs in core negotiations and Kremlin insistence that full peace remains distant, the wisdom of crowds prices low upset potential for a multi-condition resolution amid ongoing frontline intensity and diplomatic gridlock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Markt eröffnet: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Volumen
$459,041Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81% for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, driven by a recent U.S.-brokered 3-day ceasefire (May 9-11) that resolved tactical halt markets but exposed irreconcilable matchup dynamics on territory and sovereignty. Post-truce, Russia's aggressive drone barrages—over 800 reported strikes—signaled sustained offensive form despite Putin's optimistic rhetoric, while Ukraine's resolute defense rejected concessions, echoing stalled talks and violation accusations. With no breakthroughs in core negotiations and Kremlin insistence that full peace remains distant, the wisdom of crowds prices low upset potential for a multi-condition resolution amid ongoing frontline intensity and diplomatic gridlock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volumen
$459,041Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81% for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, driven by a recent U.S.-brokered 3-day ceasefire (May 9-11) that resolved tactical halt markets but exposed irreconcilable matchup dynamics on territory and sovereignty. Post-truce, Russia's aggressive drone barrages—over 800 reported strikes—signaled sustained offensive form despite Putin's optimistic rhetoric, while Ukraine's resolute defense rejected concessions, echoing stalled talks and violation accusations. With no breakthroughs in core negotiations and Kremlin insistence that full peace remains distant, the wisdom of crowds prices low upset potential for a multi-condition resolution amid ongoing frontline intensity and diplomatic gridlock.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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