**Ongoing military operations and entrenched territorial disputes continue to limit prospects for a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027.** Recent US-mediated diplomatic efforts, including envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner’s early September visits to Moscow and Kyiv, have revived plans for trilateral talks possibly in October, yet major gaps persist on control of eastern Donetsk regions and security guarantees. Russia maintains demands for additional territory beyond current lines, while Ukraine rejects unilateral withdrawals without firm, long-term assurances. Intensified strikes on energy and civilian infrastructure by both sides through mid-September underscore the absence of any sustained ceasefire, with prior 2026 negotiation rounds yielding no breakthrough. Traders assess these structural barriers and battlefield realities as making a full resolution unlikely within the remaining timeframe.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUnterzeichnet die Ukraine vor 2027 ein Friedensabkommen mit Russland?
Unterzeichnet die Ukraine vor 2027 ein Friedensabkommen mit Russland?
Ja
11% Chance
$2,772,196 Vol.
$2,772,196 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
11% Chance
$2,772,196 Vol.
$2,772,196 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Ongoing military operations and entrenched territorial disputes continue to limit prospects for a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027.** Recent US-mediated diplomatic efforts, including envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner’s early September visits to Moscow and Kyiv, have revived plans for trilateral talks possibly in October, yet major gaps persist on control of eastern Donetsk regions and security guarantees. Russia maintains demands for additional territory beyond current lines, while Ukraine rejects unilateral withdrawals without firm, long-term assurances. Intensified strikes on energy and civilian infrastructure by both sides through mid-September underscore the absence of any sustained ceasefire, with prior 2026 negotiation rounds yielding no breakthrough. Traders assess these structural barriers and battlefield realities as making a full resolution unlikely within the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,772,196Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Ongoing military operations and entrenched territorial disputes continue to limit prospects for a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027.** Recent US-mediated diplomatic efforts, including envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner’s early September visits to Moscow and Kyiv, have revived plans for trilateral talks possibly in October, yet major gaps persist on control of eastern Donetsk regions and security guarantees. Russia maintains demands for additional territory beyond current lines, while Ukraine rejects unilateral withdrawals without firm, long-term assurances. Intensified strikes on energy and civilian infrastructure by both sides through mid-September underscore the absence of any sustained ceasefire, with prior 2026 negotiation rounds yielding no breakthrough. Traders assess these structural barriers and battlefield realities as making a full resolution unlikely within the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,772,196Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing military operations and entrenched territorial disputes continue to limit prospects for a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027.** Recent US-mediated diplomatic efforts, including envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner’s early September visits to Moscow and Kyiv, have revived plans for trilateral talks possibly in October, yet major gaps persist on control of eastern Donetsk regions and security guarantees. Russia maintains demands for additional territory beyond current lines, while Ukraine rejects unilateral withdrawals without firm, long-term assurances. Intensified strikes on energy and civilian infrastructure by both sides through mid-September underscore the absence of any sustained ceasefire, with prior 2026 negotiation rounds yielding no breakthrough. Traders assess these structural barriers and battlefield realities as making a full resolution unlikely within the remaining timeframe.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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