Recent US-mediated diplomacy produced a three-day ceasefire and prisoner exchange in May 2026, with Russian President Vladimir Putin stating the conflict “is coming to an end” and expressing willingness to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy once a long-term accord is reached. Yet Kremlin officials simultaneously described any comprehensive settlement as a “very long way off” due to unresolved disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukraine’s future alignment. Multiple rounds of talks since early 2025 have yielded incremental humanitarian steps without bridging core positions, leaving traders to price a full peace deal before 2027 as unlikely amid ongoing military operations and entrenched demands from both sides.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$575,496 Vol.
$575,496 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$575,496 Vol.
$575,496 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent US-mediated diplomacy produced a three-day ceasefire and prisoner exchange in May 2026, with Russian President Vladimir Putin stating the conflict “is coming to an end” and expressing willingness to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy once a long-term accord is reached. Yet Kremlin officials simultaneously described any comprehensive settlement as a “very long way off” due to unresolved disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukraine’s future alignment. Multiple rounds of talks since early 2025 have yielded incremental humanitarian steps without bridging core positions, leaving traders to price a full peace deal before 2027 as unlikely amid ongoing military operations and entrenched demands from both sides.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$575,496Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent US-mediated diplomacy produced a three-day ceasefire and prisoner exchange in May 2026, with Russian President Vladimir Putin stating the conflict “is coming to an end” and expressing willingness to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy once a long-term accord is reached. Yet Kremlin officials simultaneously described any comprehensive settlement as a “very long way off” due to unresolved disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukraine’s future alignment. Multiple rounds of talks since early 2025 have yielded incremental humanitarian steps without bridging core positions, leaving traders to price a full peace deal before 2027 as unlikely amid ongoing military operations and entrenched demands from both sides.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$575,496Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-mediated diplomacy produced a three-day ceasefire and prisoner exchange in May 2026, with Russian President Vladimir Putin stating the conflict “is coming to an end” and expressing willingness to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy once a long-term accord is reached. Yet Kremlin officials simultaneously described any comprehensive settlement as a “very long way off” due to unresolved disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukraine’s future alignment. Multiple rounds of talks since early 2025 have yielded incremental humanitarian steps without bridging core positions, leaving traders to price a full peace deal before 2027 as unlikely amid ongoing military operations and entrenched demands from both sides.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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