Recent polling aggregates on August 21 positioned Donald Trump's job approval in the high 37% range, with sources including the New York Times at 37%, Silver Bulletin at 38.2%, RealClearPolitics at 39.5%, and Wikipedia's cross-aggregator average at 37.5%. This data reflects a multi-month decline through 2025-2026 amid economic pressures such as inflation concerns, resulting in net approval near -20 to -27 points and levels lower than historical benchmarks for presidents at this stage. Trader consensus has consolidated on the 38.0–38.4 band as the most consistent outcome across major trackers, while the narrower 37.5–37.9 interval captures residual variance from individual surveys. No major new catalysts emerged in the immediate 48 hours prior to the measurement date to shift these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTrumps Zustimmungsrate am 21. August?
$5,929 Vol.
$5,929 Vol.
37,5–37,9
15%
38,0–38,4
99%
$5,929 Vol.
$5,929 Vol.
37,5–37,9
15%
38,0–38,4
99%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates on August 21 positioned Donald Trump's job approval in the high 37% range, with sources including the New York Times at 37%, Silver Bulletin at 38.2%, RealClearPolitics at 39.5%, and Wikipedia's cross-aggregator average at 37.5%. This data reflects a multi-month decline through 2025-2026 amid economic pressures such as inflation concerns, resulting in net approval near -20 to -27 points and levels lower than historical benchmarks for presidents at this stage. Trader consensus has consolidated on the 38.0–38.4 band as the most consistent outcome across major trackers, while the narrower 37.5–37.9 interval captures residual variance from individual surveys. No major new catalysts emerged in the immediate 48 hours prior to the measurement date to shift these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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