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icon for Wie hoch wird Trumps Zustimmungsrate im Jahr 2026 ausfallen?
Politik·Trump-Präsidentschaft

Wie hoch wird Trumps Zustimmungsrate im Jahr 2026 ausfallen?

icon for Wie hoch wird Trumps Zustimmungsrate im Jahr 2026 ausfallen?
Politik·Trump-Präsidentschaft

Wie hoch wird Trumps Zustimmungsrate im Jahr 2026 ausfallen?

Dez. 31

Dez. 31

NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$4,837 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 44 %

$2,703 Vol.

10%

↑ 45 %

$137 Vol.

10%

↑ 46 %

$721 Vol.

14%

↑ 47 %

$0 Vol.

42%

↑ 48 %

$392 Vol.

5%

↑ 49 %

$0 Vol.

10%

↑ 50 %

$885 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has fallen to second-term lows of 34-40% in recent polls from Pew Research, Post-ABC-Ipsos, and Reuters/Ipsos as of early May 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that has spiked gas prices and inflation, eroding economic approval even among half of Republicans. This marks a sharp decline from earlier 2026 highs, with no rebound from his recent summit with China's President Xi Jinping on May 13. Traders weigh persistent headwinds like midterm election pressures in November 2026, potential escalation in Iran, and policy fights over tariffs amid a closely contested polling environment where economic recovery or de-escalation could lift ratings toward 45% or higher.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$4,837
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has fallen to second-term lows of 34-40% in recent polls from Pew Research, Post-ABC-Ipsos, and Reuters/Ipsos as of early May 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that has spiked gas prices and inflation, eroding economic approval even among half of Republicans. This marks a sharp decline from earlier 2026 highs, with no rebound from his recent summit with China's President Xi Jinping on May 13. Traders weigh persistent headwinds like midterm election pressures in November 2026, potential escalation in Iran, and policy fights over tariffs amid a closely contested polling environment where economic recovery or de-escalation could lift ratings toward 45% or higher.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$4,837
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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„Wie hoch wird Trumps Zustimmungsrate im Jahr 2026 ausfallen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „↑ 47 %" mit 42%, gefolgt von „↑ 46 %" mit 14%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 42¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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