Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July. Recent polling aggregates place current approval between 33 and 39 percent, with net ratings at record or near-record lows for the second term due to rising energy costs, casualty reports, and broader affordability concerns ahead of the November midterms. Earlier 2026 readings showed modest stability or slight gains tied to domestic policy execution and ceremonial events, but sustained foreign policy pressures have offset those. Scheduled midterm contests and any further diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift the annual peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie hoch wird Trumps Zustimmungsrate im Jahr 2026 ausfallen?
Wie hoch wird Trumps Zustimmungsrate im Jahr 2026 ausfallen?
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
↑ 44 %
6%
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4%
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6%
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11%
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6%
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5%
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8%
$7,511 Vol.
↑ 44 %
$3,192 Vol.
6%
↑ 45 %
$300 Vol.
4%
↑ 46 %
$1,036 Vol.
6%
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$480 Vol.
11%
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$779 Vol.
6%
↑ 49 %
$656 Vol.
5%
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$1,067 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July. Recent polling aggregates place current approval between 33 and 39 percent, with net ratings at record or near-record lows for the second term due to rising energy costs, casualty reports, and broader affordability concerns ahead of the November midterms. Earlier 2026 readings showed modest stability or slight gains tied to domestic policy execution and ceremonial events, but sustained foreign policy pressures have offset those. Scheduled midterm contests and any further diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift the annual peak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$7,511Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July. Recent polling aggregates place current approval between 33 and 39 percent, with net ratings at record or near-record lows for the second term due to rising energy costs, casualty reports, and broader affordability concerns ahead of the November midterms. Earlier 2026 readings showed modest stability or slight gains tied to domestic policy execution and ceremonial events, but sustained foreign policy pressures have offset those. Scheduled midterm contests and any further diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift the annual peak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$7,511Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July. Recent polling aggregates place current approval between 33 and 39 percent, with net ratings at record or near-record lows for the second term due to rising energy costs, casualty reports, and broader affordability concerns ahead of the November midterms. Earlier 2026 readings showed modest stability or slight gains tied to domestic policy execution and ceremonial events, but sustained foreign policy pressures have offset those. Scheduled midterm contests and any further diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift the annual peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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