Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s amid steady erosion since early 2025. Persistent economic pressures, including elevated gas prices tied to the Iran conflict, foreign policy handling, and broader cost-of-living concerns, have weighed on independents and some Republican-leaning voters. Approaching 2026 midterms add visibility to these trends without decisive shifts in recent data. The narrow distribution across outcome bins reflects this stability, as modest weekly fluctuations in high-quality polls continue to cluster around the current range. New economic releases, diplomatic developments on Iran, or sharper partisan mobilization could widen separation before the August 14 measurement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert37,0–37,4 37%
37,5–37,9 37%
38,0–38,4 37%
38,5–38,9 37%
<37,0
15%
37,0–37,4
37%
37,5–37,9
37%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
37%
39,0+
37%
37,0–37,4 37%
37,5–37,9 37%
38,0–38,4 37%
38,5–38,9 37%
<37,0
15%
37,0–37,4
37%
37,5–37,9
37%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
37%
39,0+
37%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s amid steady erosion since early 2025. Persistent economic pressures, including elevated gas prices tied to the Iran conflict, foreign policy handling, and broader cost-of-living concerns, have weighed on independents and some Republican-leaning voters. Approaching 2026 midterms add visibility to these trends without decisive shifts in recent data. The narrow distribution across outcome bins reflects this stability, as modest weekly fluctuations in high-quality polls continue to cluster around the current range. New economic releases, diplomatic developments on Iran, or sharper partisan mobilization could widen separation before the August 14 measurement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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