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icon for Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?
Politik·FCC

Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?

icon for Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?
Politik·FCC

Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?

Ja

9% Chance
Polymarket

$37,610 Vol.

Ja

9% Chance
Polymarket

$37,610 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity, including a Commission order, public notice, or official statement by the FCC or its authorized representatives. The following do not qualify: - Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; - Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the FCC, including statements by the President or other government officials calling for, urging, or predicting a revocation, unless accompanied by qualifying FCC action; - Statements by individual FCC Commissioners, including the Chairman, expressing intent, threat, or support for revocation, absent an adopted Commission action or an action taken under validly delegated authority; - Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the FCC will revoke, cancel, or deny a license; - Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; - A licensee's voluntary surrender, sale, transfer, or relinquishment of a license, or a station's loss or change of network affiliation, absent qualifying FCC action; and - Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional revocation rather than announcing a present and decided action. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the action is later reversed, stayed, vacated on appeal, or whether the station actually ceases broadcasting. Resolution will be based on official information from the Federal Communications Commission, including Commission orders, public notices, the FCC's Electronic Document Management System (EDOCS), the Licensing and Management System (LMS), and official statements by the FCC or its authorized representatives.The high implied probability against revocation by December 31, 2026, reflects the steep procedural and legal barriers to FCC license actions. Chairman Brendan Carr ordered early renewal reviews for ABC-owned stations in April 2026 amid administration criticism of network content, prompting a Disney lawsuit in August seeking to halt proceedings. Standard full-power station renewals are not due until 2028–2031, and no major network license has been revoked in over four decades. Any contested process requires public comment, potential administrative hearings, appeals, and federal court review, timelines that exceed the remaining months. Recent FCC moves, including repeal of the national ownership cap, have emphasized deregulation rather than enforcement. Traders view the short resolution window and ongoing litigation as decisive constraints on completing revocation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify.

An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration.

A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license.

A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity, including a Commission order, public notice, or official statement by the FCC or its authorized representatives.

The following do not qualify:
- Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
- Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the FCC, including statements by the President or other government officials calling for, urging, or predicting a revocation, unless accompanied by qualifying FCC action;
- Statements by individual FCC Commissioners, including the Chairman, expressing intent, threat, or support for revocation, absent an adopted Commission action or an action taken under validly delegated authority;
- Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the FCC will revoke, cancel, or deny a license;
- Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
- A licensee's voluntary surrender, sale, transfer, or relinquishment of a license, or a station's loss or change of network affiliation, absent qualifying FCC action; and
- Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional revocation rather than announcing a present and decided action.

Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the action is later reversed, stayed, vacated on appeal, or whether the station actually ceases broadcasting.

Resolution will be based on official information from the Federal Communications Commission, including Commission orders, public notices, the FCC's Electronic Document Management System (EDOCS), the Licensing and Management System (LMS), and official statements by the FCC or its authorized representatives.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity, including a Commission order, public notice, or official statement by the FCC or its authorized representatives. The following do not qualify: - Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; - Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the FCC, including statements by the President or other government officials calling for, urging, or predicting a revocation, unless accompanied by qualifying FCC action; - Statements by individual FCC Commissioners, including the Chairman, expressing intent, threat, or support for revocation, absent an adopted Commission action or an action taken under validly delegated authority; - Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the FCC will revoke, cancel, or deny a license; - Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; - A licensee's voluntary surrender, sale, transfer, or relinquishment of a license, or a station's loss or change of network affiliation, absent qualifying FCC action; and - Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional revocation rather than announcing a present and decided action. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the action is later reversed, stayed, vacated on appeal, or whether the station actually ceases broadcasting. Resolution will be based on official information from the Federal Communications Commission, including Commission orders, public notices, the FCC's Electronic Document Management System (EDOCS), the Licensing and Management System (LMS), and official statements by the FCC or its authorized representatives.
Volumen
$37,610
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity, including a Commission order, public notice, or official statement by the FCC or its authorized representatives. The following do not qualify: - Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; - Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the FCC, including statements by the President or other government officials calling for, urging, or predicting a revocation, unless accompanied by qualifying FCC action; - Statements by individual FCC Commissioners, including the Chairman, expressing intent, threat, or support for revocation, absent an adopted Commission action or an action taken under validly delegated authority; - Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the FCC will revoke, cancel, or deny a license; - Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; - A licensee's voluntary surrender, sale, transfer, or relinquishment of a license, or a station's loss or change of network affiliation, absent qualifying FCC action; and - Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional revocation rather than announcing a present and decided action. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the action is later reversed, stayed, vacated on appeal, or whether the station actually ceases broadcasting. Resolution will be based on official information from the Federal Communications Commission, including Commission orders, public notices, the FCC's Electronic Document Management System (EDOCS), the Licensing and Management System (LMS), and official statements by the FCC or its authorized representatives.The high implied probability against revocation by December 31, 2026, reflects the steep procedural and legal barriers to FCC license actions. Chairman Brendan Carr ordered early renewal reviews for ABC-owned stations in April 2026 amid administration criticism of network content, prompting a Disney lawsuit in August seeking to halt proceedings. Standard full-power station renewals are not due until 2028–2031, and no major network license has been revoked in over four decades. Any contested process requires public comment, potential administrative hearings, appeals, and federal court review, timelines that exceed the remaining months. Recent FCC moves, including repeal of the national ownership cap, have emphasized deregulation rather than enforcement. Traders view the short resolution window and ongoing litigation as decisive constraints on completing revocation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify.

An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration.

A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license.

A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity, including a Commission order, public notice, or official statement by the FCC or its authorized representatives.

The following do not qualify:
- Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
- Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the FCC, including statements by the President or other government officials calling for, urging, or predicting a revocation, unless accompanied by qualifying FCC action;
- Statements by individual FCC Commissioners, including the Chairman, expressing intent, threat, or support for revocation, absent an adopted Commission action or an action taken under validly delegated authority;
- Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the FCC will revoke, cancel, or deny a license;
- Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
- A licensee's voluntary surrender, sale, transfer, or relinquishment of a license, or a station's loss or change of network affiliation, absent qualifying FCC action; and
- Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional revocation rather than announcing a present and decided action.

Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the action is later reversed, stayed, vacated on appeal, or whether the station actually ceases broadcasting.

Resolution will be based on official information from the Federal Communications Commission, including Commission orders, public notices, the FCC's Electronic Document Management System (EDOCS), the Licensing and Management System (LMS), and official statements by the FCC or its authorized representatives.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity, including a Commission order, public notice, or official statement by the FCC or its authorized representatives. The following do not qualify: - Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; - Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the FCC, including statements by the President or other government officials calling for, urging, or predicting a revocation, unless accompanied by qualifying FCC action; - Statements by individual FCC Commissioners, including the Chairman, expressing intent, threat, or support for revocation, absent an adopted Commission action or an action taken under validly delegated authority; - Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the FCC will revoke, cancel, or deny a license; - Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; - A licensee's voluntary surrender, sale, transfer, or relinquishment of a license, or a station's loss or change of network affiliation, absent qualifying FCC action; and - Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional revocation rather than announcing a present and decided action. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the action is later reversed, stayed, vacated on appeal, or whether the station actually ceases broadcasting. Resolution will be based on official information from the Federal Communications Commission, including Commission orders, public notices, the FCC's Electronic Document Management System (EDOCS), the Licensing and Management System (LMS), and official statements by the FCC or its authorized representatives.
Volumen
$37,610
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Widerruft die FCC bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Sendelizenz eines großen Netzwerks?" mit 9%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 9¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 9% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $37.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?" ist „Widerruft die FCC bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Sendelizenz eines großen Netzwerks?" mit nur 9%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Die FCC widerruft eine Lizenz für große Netzwerkübertragungen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.