President Trump's job approval rating has declined to new second-term lows of 34-41% in early May 2026 polls from Post-ABC-Ipsos, CNN, and Forbes/HarrisX, driven primarily by widespread disapproval of his handling of inflation, rising costs, and the ongoing Iran conflict, where over 60% disapprove of economic management and military actions rated as failures. Immigration policy ratings have also slipped amid border security pushback, eroding even strong Republican support from 53% to 45%. With 2026 midterms six months away, traders monitor economic indicators, potential escalation in Iran, debt ceiling negotiations, and legislative votes on spending as pivotal factors that could drive ratings lower amid historical midterm dips for incumbents or stabilize via policy wins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$72,060 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
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$72,060 Vol.
35 %
$42,216 Vol.
41%
30 %
$5,678 Vol.
11%
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$1,730 Vol.
9%
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$2,935 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's job approval rating has declined to new second-term lows of 34-41% in early May 2026 polls from Post-ABC-Ipsos, CNN, and Forbes/HarrisX, driven primarily by widespread disapproval of his handling of inflation, rising costs, and the ongoing Iran conflict, where over 60% disapprove of economic management and military actions rated as failures. Immigration policy ratings have also slipped amid border security pushback, eroding even strong Republican support from 53% to 45%. With 2026 midterms six months away, traders monitor economic indicators, potential escalation in Iran, debt ceiling negotiations, and legislative votes on spending as pivotal factors that could drive ratings lower amid historical midterm dips for incumbents or stabilize via policy wins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volumen
$72,060Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's job approval rating has declined to new second-term lows of 34-41% in early May 2026 polls from Post-ABC-Ipsos, CNN, and Forbes/HarrisX, driven primarily by widespread disapproval of his handling of inflation, rising costs, and the ongoing Iran conflict, where over 60% disapprove of economic management and military actions rated as failures. Immigration policy ratings have also slipped amid border security pushback, eroding even strong Republican support from 53% to 45%. With 2026 midterms six months away, traders monitor economic indicators, potential escalation in Iran, debt ceiling negotiations, and legislative votes on spending as pivotal factors that could drive ratings lower amid historical midterm dips for incumbents or stabilize via policy wins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$72,060Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's job approval rating has declined to new second-term lows of 34-41% in early May 2026 polls from Post-ABC-Ipsos, CNN, and Forbes/HarrisX, driven primarily by widespread disapproval of his handling of inflation, rising costs, and the ongoing Iran conflict, where over 60% disapprove of economic management and military actions rated as failures. Immigration policy ratings have also slipped amid border security pushback, eroding even strong Republican support from 53% to 45%. With 2026 midterms six months away, traders monitor economic indicators, potential escalation in Iran, debt ceiling negotiations, and legislative votes on spending as pivotal factors that could drive ratings lower amid historical midterm dips for incumbents or stabilize via policy wins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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