The account @khamenei_ir, which posts archival statements from Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has shown low and irregular activity since his death in early 2026. Recent posts consist mainly of historical quotes on topics such as resistance and religious observances, appearing several days apart rather than daily. With no scheduled major announcements, holidays, or diplomatic developments in the immediate August 18-25 window, trader consensus favors fewer than five posts at 59.5% implied probability, followed by 5-9 at 26.5%. This positioning reflects the shift to posthumous content management and the absence of catalysts that previously prompted higher volume from the verified handle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts 18. August - 25. August 2026?
Khamenei # posts 18. August - 25. August 2026?
<5 60%
5-9 27%
10-14 15%
30-34 1.3%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
<5
60%
5-9
27%
10-14
15%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 60%
5-9 27%
10-14 15%
30-34 1.3%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
<5
$241 Vol.
60%
5-9
$215 Vol.
27%
10-14
$10 Vol.
15%
15-19
$5 Vol.
1%
20-24
$5 Vol.
1%
25-29
$5 Vol.
1%
30-34
$5 Vol.
1%
35-39
$5 Vol.
1%
40-44
$10 Vol.
1%
45-49
$10 Vol.
1%
50-54
$5 Vol.
1%
55-59
$5 Vol.
1%
60+
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, which posts archival statements from Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has shown low and irregular activity since his death in early 2026. Recent posts consist mainly of historical quotes on topics such as resistance and religious observances, appearing several days apart rather than daily. With no scheduled major announcements, holidays, or diplomatic developments in the immediate August 18-25 window, trader consensus favors fewer than five posts at 59.5% implied probability, followed by 5-9 at 26.5%. This positioning reflects the shift to posthumous content management and the absence of catalysts that previously prompted higher volume from the verified handle.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$526Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, which posts archival statements from Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has shown low and irregular activity since his death in early 2026. Recent posts consist mainly of historical quotes on topics such as resistance and religious observances, appearing several days apart rather than daily. With no scheduled major announcements, holidays, or diplomatic developments in the immediate August 18-25 window, trader consensus favors fewer than five posts at 59.5% implied probability, followed by 5-9 at 26.5%. This positioning reflects the shift to posthumous content management and the absence of catalysts that previously prompted higher volume from the verified handle.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$526Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The account @khamenei_ir, which posts archival statements from Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has shown low and irregular activity since his death in early 2026. Recent posts consist mainly of historical quotes on topics such as resistance and religious observances, appearing several days apart rather than daily. With no scheduled major announcements, holidays, or diplomatic developments in the immediate August 18-25 window, trader consensus favors fewer than five posts at 59.5% implied probability, followed by 5-9 at 26.5%. This positioning reflects the shift to posthumous content management and the absence of catalysts that previously prompted higher volume from the verified handle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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