President Donald Trump's continued active engagement in White House duties, including recent threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell upon his term's end today and public appearances like his May 3 arrival at Doral for events, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 94.5% for resignation before 2027. Absent any official statements, health crises, or advancing impeachment efforts—despite symbolic Democratic resolutions in April lacking Senate traction—markets reflect low political or legal pressure to step down. High administration turnover, such as the acting ICE director's April exit, has not implicated the president. An upcoming late-May medical exam could introduce uncertainty, alongside tail risks from scandals or midterms, but historical incumbent patterns favor completion.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$17,430 Vol.
$17,430 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$17,430 Vol.
$17,430 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's continued active engagement in White House duties, including recent threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell upon his term's end today and public appearances like his May 3 arrival at Doral for events, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 94.5% for resignation before 2027. Absent any official statements, health crises, or advancing impeachment efforts—despite symbolic Democratic resolutions in April lacking Senate traction—markets reflect low political or legal pressure to step down. High administration turnover, such as the acting ICE director's April exit, has not implicated the president. An upcoming late-May medical exam could introduce uncertainty, alongside tail risks from scandals or midterms, but historical incumbent patterns favor completion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volumen
$17,430Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's continued active engagement in White House duties, including recent threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell upon his term's end today and public appearances like his May 3 arrival at Doral for events, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 94.5% for resignation before 2027. Absent any official statements, health crises, or advancing impeachment efforts—despite symbolic Democratic resolutions in April lacking Senate traction—markets reflect low political or legal pressure to step down. High administration turnover, such as the acting ICE director's April exit, has not implicated the president. An upcoming late-May medical exam could introduce uncertainty, alongside tail risks from scandals or midterms, but historical incumbent patterns favor completion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$17,430Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's continued active engagement in White House duties, including recent threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell upon his term's end today and public appearances like his May 3 arrival at Doral for events, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 94.5% for resignation before 2027. Absent any official statements, health crises, or advancing impeachment efforts—despite symbolic Democratic resolutions in April lacking Senate traction—markets reflect low political or legal pressure to step down. High administration turnover, such as the acting ICE director's April exit, has not implicated the president. An upcoming late-May medical exam could introduce uncertainty, alongside tail risks from scandals or midterms, but historical incumbent patterns favor completion.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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