The overwhelming trader consensus against abolishing the Federal Reserve before 2027 reflects the high structural barriers to such an outcome, including the need for legislation to pass both chambers of Congress and receive presidential approval amid divided priorities. No active bills, committee actions, or official administration proposals have advanced meaningful reform of the central bank’s structure or mandate in recent months. Historical patterns of institutional continuity and the absence of broad bipartisan support further anchor expectations. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a severe economic crisis prompting emergency legislative responses, unexpected shifts in congressional leadership, or new executive priorities tied to monetary policy debates, though these remain low-probability developments within the resolution window.