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Geopolitik·Belohnungen 20, 4.5, 50

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?

icon for Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?
Geopolitik·Belohnungen 20, 4.5, 50

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?

Juni 30

Juni 30

<1 65%

1-2 32%

3+ 5.0%

Polymarket
NEU

<1 65%

1-2 32%

3+ 5.0%

Polymarket
NEU

<1

$1,618 Vol.

59%

1-2

$193 Vol.

36%

3+

$243 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing schedule shows significant month-to-month variability, with eight launches recorded through late May 2026, including a May 26–27 event featuring a new lightweight multi-purpose launcher and tactical cruise missiles from the west coast. As of early June, no tests have occurred, aligning with trader consensus that places the highest probability on fewer than one launch for the full month. Historical patterns indicate periodic pauses after intensive bursts, influenced by technical readiness, weather, and diplomatic timing rather than fixed calendars. The low odds on three or more tests reflect the absence of immediate triggers such as major joint military exercises or high-level summits in the near term, while the modest chance of one or two accounts for the possibility of routine short-range or cruise missile activity typical of the regime's modernization efforts under its five-year plan.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volumen
$2,053
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing schedule shows significant month-to-month variability, with eight launches recorded through late May 2026, including a May 26–27 event featuring a new lightweight multi-purpose launcher and tactical cruise missiles from the west coast. As of early June, no tests have occurred, aligning with trader consensus that places the highest probability on fewer than one launch for the full month. Historical patterns indicate periodic pauses after intensive bursts, influenced by technical readiness, weather, and diplomatic timing rather than fixed calendars. The low odds on three or more tests reflect the absence of immediate triggers such as major joint military exercises or high-level summits in the near term, while the modest chance of one or two accounts for the possibility of routine short-range or cruise missile activity typical of the regime's modernization efforts under its five-year plan.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volumen
$2,053
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

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