Skip to main content
icon for Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?
Geopolitik·Kim Jong Un

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

icon for Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?
Geopolitik·Kim Jong Un

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

Mai 31

Mai 31

<2 69%

2–3 26%

4+ 6.8%

Polymarket
NEU

<2 69%

2–3 26%

4+ 6.8%

Polymarket
NEU

<2

$1,347 Vol.

69%

2–3

$3,200 Vol.

26%

4+

$516 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile tests in May 2026 as of mid-month, supporting the dominant trader consensus around fewer than two launches for the full period. Following a series of short-range ballistic missile firings in April that tested cluster munitions warheads and naval launch platforms, activity has paused amid routine military exercises and diplomatic signaling. This pattern aligns with North Korea’s historical approach of intermittent campaigns focused on technical validation rather than daily operations, with Kim Jong Un’s regime calibrating tests against regional responses and sanctions pressures. Any late-May escalation tied to U.S.-South Korea drills or internal policy announcements remains possible but appears discounted in current pricing given the extended quiet period.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volumen
$5,063
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile tests in May 2026 as of mid-month, supporting the dominant trader consensus around fewer than two launches for the full period. Following a series of short-range ballistic missile firings in April that tested cluster munitions warheads and naval launch platforms, activity has paused amid routine military exercises and diplomatic signaling. This pattern aligns with North Korea’s historical approach of intermittent campaigns focused on technical validation rather than daily operations, with Kim Jong Un’s regime calibrating tests against regional responses and sanctions pressures. Any late-May escalation tied to U.S.-South Korea drills or internal policy announcements remains possible but appears discounted in current pricing given the extended quiet period.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volumen
$5,063
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<2" mit 69%, gefolgt von „2–3" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 69¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 69% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 27, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?" ist „<2" mit 69%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 69% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „2–3" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.