Nvidia’s current market capitalization near $5.1 trillion, combined with strong demand for its AI accelerators, underpins the leading $5.5–6.0 trillion bracket at 39.5% implied probability. Recent GTC 2026 announcements of the Vera Rubin platform, new CPUs, and expanded inference capabilities have reinforced expectations for data-center revenue growth through 2027, while the company’s push into AI PCs with RTX Spark chips adds another growth vector. Traders appear to weigh these positives against rising competition from custom silicon at Google and others, plus typical product ramp timelines that limit outsized moves before year-end. The clustered probabilities around $5–6.5 trillion reflect this balanced view of sustained but not explosive expansion in the large-language-model and agentic-AI markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNvidias Marktkapitalisierung Ende 2026?
Nvidias Marktkapitalisierung Ende 2026?
5,50–6,00 Billionen US-Dollar 38%
4,50–5,00 Bio. $ 22%
<4,00 Bio. $ 20%
6,50 Bio.+ 19%
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
<4,00 Bio. $
18%
4,00–4,50 Billionen US-Dollar
16%
4,50–5,00 Bio. $
24%
5,00–5,50 Billionen US-Dollar
18%
5,50–6,00 Billionen US-Dollar
38%
6,00–6,50 Bio. $
19%
6,50 Bio.+
19%
5,50–6,00 Billionen US-Dollar 38%
4,50–5,00 Bio. $ 22%
<4,00 Bio. $ 20%
6,50 Bio.+ 19%
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
<4,00 Bio. $
$108 Vol.
18%
4,00–4,50 Billionen US-Dollar
$163 Vol.
16%
4,50–5,00 Bio. $
$106 Vol.
24%
5,00–5,50 Billionen US-Dollar
$40 Vol.
18%
5,50–6,00 Billionen US-Dollar
$165 Vol.
38%
6,00–6,50 Bio. $
$112 Vol.
19%
6,50 Bio.+
$60 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current market capitalization near $5.1 trillion, combined with strong demand for its AI accelerators, underpins the leading $5.5–6.0 trillion bracket at 39.5% implied probability. Recent GTC 2026 announcements of the Vera Rubin platform, new CPUs, and expanded inference capabilities have reinforced expectations for data-center revenue growth through 2027, while the company’s push into AI PCs with RTX Spark chips adds another growth vector. Traders appear to weigh these positives against rising competition from custom silicon at Google and others, plus typical product ramp timelines that limit outsized moves before year-end. The clustered probabilities around $5–6.5 trillion reflect this balanced view of sustained but not explosive expansion in the large-language-model and agentic-AI markets.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volumen
$754Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current market capitalization near $5.1 trillion, combined with strong demand for its AI accelerators, underpins the leading $5.5–6.0 trillion bracket at 39.5% implied probability. Recent GTC 2026 announcements of the Vera Rubin platform, new CPUs, and expanded inference capabilities have reinforced expectations for data-center revenue growth through 2027, while the company’s push into AI PCs with RTX Spark chips adds another growth vector. Traders appear to weigh these positives against rising competition from custom silicon at Google and others, plus typical product ramp timelines that limit outsized moves before year-end. The clustered probabilities around $5–6.5 trillion reflect this balanced view of sustained but not explosive expansion in the large-language-model and agentic-AI markets.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volumen
$754Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s current market capitalization near $5.1 trillion, combined with strong demand for its AI accelerators, underpins the leading $5.5–6.0 trillion bracket at 39.5% implied probability. Recent GTC 2026 announcements of the Vera Rubin platform, new CPUs, and expanded inference capabilities have reinforced expectations for data-center revenue growth through 2027, while the company’s push into AI PCs with RTX Spark chips adds another growth vector. Traders appear to weigh these positives against rising competition from custom silicon at Google and others, plus typical product ramp timelines that limit outsized moves before year-end. The clustered probabilities around $5–6.5 trillion reflect this balanced view of sustained but not explosive expansion in the large-language-model and agentic-AI markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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