The 2026 PGA Championship market shows a tightly bunched group at the top, with Alex Smalley holding a narrow edge at 17.1% implied probability ahead of Jon Rahm at 14.8%, Ludvig Aberg at 14.6%, and Rory McIlroy at 12.3%. This clustering stems from the deep talent pool and recent form swings among players who have posted strong results on similar parkland layouts, combined with solid course-history advantages for the leaders. Xander Schauffele and Scottie Scheffler sit lower at 6.6% and 4.5%, reflecting market assessment of their current trajectories and scheduling demands. The overall tightness underscores how quickly momentum can shift in a major due to variables like ball-striking consistency, putting surfaces, and mental preparation across a stacked field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAlex Smalley 17.1%
Ludvig Aberg 15.2%
Jon Rahm 14.9%
Rory McIlroy 12.8%
$5,877,934 Vol.
$5,877,934 Vol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Jon Rahm
15%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 17.1%
Ludvig Aberg 15.2%
Jon Rahm 14.9%
Rory McIlroy 12.8%
$5,877,934 Vol.
$5,877,934 Vol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Jon Rahm
15%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The 2026 PGA Championship market shows a tightly bunched group at the top, with Alex Smalley holding a narrow edge at 17.1% implied probability ahead of Jon Rahm at 14.8%, Ludvig Aberg at 14.6%, and Rory McIlroy at 12.3%. This clustering stems from the deep talent pool and recent form swings among players who have posted strong results on similar parkland layouts, combined with solid course-history advantages for the leaders. Xander Schauffele and Scottie Scheffler sit lower at 6.6% and 4.5%, reflecting market assessment of their current trajectories and scheduling demands. The overall tightness underscores how quickly momentum can shift in a major due to variables like ball-striking consistency, putting surfaces, and mental preparation across a stacked field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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