The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched field where implied probabilities reflect broad uncertainty among contenders. Matti Schmid holds a narrow lead in trader consensus, closely followed by Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor, with Rory McIlroy and others within striking distance. This distribution stems from recent PGA Tour form, course-specific ball-striking demands, and the absence of any dominant pre-tournament favorite. Historical major volatility, combined with variable weather and pin placements at Quail Hollow, continues to support multiple viable paths to victory. The spread keeps the race open, as strong weekend performances or a single hot putter can shift momentum rapidly in stroke-play format.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMatti Schmid 22.6%
Jon Rahm 18.6%
Nick Taylor 12.4%
Rory McIlroy 11.1%
$7,569,069 Vol.
$7,569,069 Vol.
Matti Schmid
23%
Jon Rahm
19%
Nick Taylor
12%
Rory McIlroy
11%
Aaron Rai
10%
Ludvig Aberg
8%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Cameron Smith
6%
Justin Thomas
4%
Alex Smalley
3%
Justin Rose
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Matti Schmid 22.6%
Jon Rahm 18.6%
Nick Taylor 12.4%
Rory McIlroy 11.1%
$7,569,069 Vol.
$7,569,069 Vol.
Matti Schmid
23%
Jon Rahm
19%
Nick Taylor
12%
Rory McIlroy
11%
Aaron Rai
10%
Ludvig Aberg
8%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Cameron Smith
6%
Justin Thomas
4%
Alex Smalley
3%
Justin Rose
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched field where implied probabilities reflect broad uncertainty among contenders. Matti Schmid holds a narrow lead in trader consensus, closely followed by Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor, with Rory McIlroy and others within striking distance. This distribution stems from recent PGA Tour form, course-specific ball-striking demands, and the absence of any dominant pre-tournament favorite. Historical major volatility, combined with variable weather and pin placements at Quail Hollow, continues to support multiple viable paths to victory. The spread keeps the race open, as strong weekend performances or a single hot putter can shift momentum rapidly in stroke-play format.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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